03/17/2003 21:01:35 EST   User [gary fullett] joined forum from 198.63.240.97 03/17/2003 21:01:40 EST   hi gary 03/17/2003 21:01:44 EST   Hi John and Gary! 03/17/2003 21:01:47 EST   Hi Gary 03/17/2003 21:01:51 EST   hi MM ~~ 03/17/2003 21:02:05 EST   good evening evering 03/17/2003 21:02:16 EST   everyone 03/17/2003 21:03:08 EST   User [Zack] joined forum from 63.164.167.53 03/17/2003 21:03:14 EST   Hi folks 03/17/2003 21:03:15 EST   how is everyone tonight 03/17/2003 21:03:16 EST   hey zack 03/17/2003 21:03:21 EST   Hi Zack! 03/17/2003 21:03:37 EST   Good - ready to go! 03/17/2003 21:03:37 EST   scratching head over energies 03/17/2003 21:03:41 EST   ok 03/17/2003 21:03:47 EST   wow, did you see tonight 03/17/2003 21:03:59 EST   47 hours and counting :) 03/17/2003 21:04:07 EST   tick, tick, tick 03/17/2003 21:04:10 EST   why john? 03/17/2003 21:04:36 EST   still going down 03/17/2003 21:05:00 EST   why do think they will go up? 03/17/2003 21:05:05 EST   User [Steve L] joined forum from 65.128.64.132 03/17/2003 21:05:17 EST   b/c of war -- emotions 03/17/2003 21:05:24 EST   User [Kent] joined forum from 172.194.244.147 03/17/2003 21:05:34 EST   Hi Steve and Kent 03/17/2003 21:05:37 EST   I think that oil wont be an issue\\ 03/17/2003 21:05:41 EST   hi MM 03/17/2003 21:05:47 EST   these countries need to pump poil to make money 03/17/2003 21:05:51 EST   hi 03/17/2003 21:06:04 EST   in the case of iraq they will pump more oil aftre sadamm leaves 03/17/2003 21:06:18 EST   they only produce 25 perecent of oil now 03/17/2003 21:06:23 EST   but only if the wells can still pump! 03/17/2003 21:06:27 EST   they will be at full capacity when sadamm leaves 03/17/2003 21:06:45 EST   User [beaubc] joined forum from 24.84.223.27 03/17/2003 21:06:47 EST   User [dca] joined forum from 68.147.168.38 03/17/2003 21:06:49 EST   if he doesn't blow them up 03/17/2003 21:06:56 EST   hi all 03/17/2003 21:06:59 EST   Hi beau - so you think he will leave 03/17/2003 21:07:00 EST   hi dca 03/17/2003 21:07:07 EST   hello mm everyone 03/17/2003 21:07:10 EST   Hi dca 03/17/2003 21:07:16 EST   User [greg] joined forum from 206.58.228.220 03/17/2003 21:07:19 EST   I dont think he will 03/17/2003 21:07:21 EST   hey greg 03/17/2003 21:07:23 EST   maybre a few wells 03/17/2003 21:07:24 EST   evening all :) 03/17/2003 21:07:35 EST   hi dca, beaubc 03/17/2003 21:07:37 EST   well, they say he's got them all wired as we speak 03/17/2003 21:07:37 EST   hi greg 03/17/2003 21:07:42 EST   03/17/2003 21:07:42 EST   hi mike 03/17/2003 21:07:48 EST   Hi Greg - 03/17/2003 21:07:48 EST   hope they can get to them before he can 03/17/2003 21:07:50 EST   hi greg, bc, dca, mike 03/17/2003 21:07:53 EST   hi greg 03/17/2003 21:07:56 EST   he also said he would use chemical and biolocial weapons 03/17/2003 21:07:59 EST   and they will fight 03/17/2003 21:08:18 EST   I dont think he will use any of his weapons and his soldiers will quit 03/17/2003 21:08:24 EST   well, some will, most will give up 03/17/2003 21:08:25 EST   lots of unknowns, he 03/17/2003 21:08:28 EST   which he doesn't have , right?, LOL 03/17/2003 21:08:38 EST   LOL 03/17/2003 21:08:47 EST   Yep---he will use chemical and biological weapons that he doesn't have 03/17/2003 21:08:57 EST   yep 03/17/2003 21:08:58 EST   right 03/17/2003 21:08:59 EST   i heard that some came over the hill last week waving a white flad - they had to tell them they weren't at war yet 03/17/2003 21:09:03 EST   like he didnt have the missiles 03/17/2003 21:09:34 EST   lol, mm, did we send them back?? 03/17/2003 21:09:35 EST   lol 03/17/2003 21:10:05 EST   have we talked on time frsmes mnthly weekly and daily? 03/17/2003 21:10:11 EST   like a bc on the daily 03/17/2003 21:10:17 EST   don't know - they were practice shooting and that happened -they wanted to surrender - were very thin 03/17/2003 21:10:17 EST   unfortuantely it was the brits that they tried to surrender to, the brit commander sent them back, they are prob dead now 03/17/2003 21:10:18 EST   ect. 03/17/2003 21:10:21 EST   i think we did 03/17/2003 21:10:48 EST   yes 03/17/2003 21:10:59 EST   User [Len] joined forum from 67.66.244.21 03/17/2003 21:11:02 EST   last thursday 03/17/2003 21:11:02 EST   yes we did 03/17/2003 21:11:05 EST   i talke don sot 03/17/2003 21:11:12 EST   absproption 03/17/2003 21:12:04 EST   and JOC 03/17/2003 21:12:10 EST   I will send examples tomorrow 03/17/2003 21:12:18 EST   think last week we talked sot's and upthrust 03/17/2003 21:12:28 EST   right 03/17/2003 21:12:36 EST   and I will sned examples tomooorow 03/17/2003 21:12:39 EST   good 03/17/2003 21:12:43 EST   thanks Gary 03/17/2003 21:12:45 EST   zoo's 3 charts 03/17/2003 21:13:16 EST   sot upthursdt and absorption 03/17/2003 21:13:22 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:13:52 EST   i didnt forget 03/17/2003 21:13:54 EST   :) 03/17/2003 21:14:03 EST   does everyone here know the wyckoff wave? 03/17/2003 21:14:12 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:14:13 EST   think so 03/17/2003 21:14:14 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:14:16 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:14:18 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:14:19 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:14:22 EST   some 03/17/2003 21:14:24 EST   we talked on all the ters right 03/17/2003 21:14:35 EST   test---can u see this ? 03/17/2003 21:14:38 EST   prelimary syppor prelimary support joc brekaing of the ice right 03/17/2003 21:14:39 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:14:40 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:14:41 EST   we talked on TR 03/17/2003 21:14:48 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:14:48 EST   springs and upthurst right? 03/17/2003 21:14:52 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:14:52 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:14:53 EST   yes zack 03/17/2003 21:14:53 EST   r 03/17/2003 21:14:58 EST   god 03/17/2003 21:15:04 EST   are there any questiosn with these? 03/17/2003 21:15:09 EST   good 03/17/2003 21:15:20 EST   are u clear with them? 03/17/2003 21:15:31 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:15:35 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:15:35 EST   can you talk more on volume and what we should good for - think could use a little more there - 03/17/2003 21:15:35 EST   good 03/17/2003 21:15:48 EST   that is where I was going MM 03/17/2003 21:15:53 EST   price action and volume 03/17/2003 21:16:00 EST   :) 03/17/2003 21:16:17 EST   before I begin any questions 03/17/2003 21:16:32 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:16:36 EST   this will be an i mportant class 03/17/2003 21:16:40 EST   okay John please 03/17/2003 21:16:42 EST   today was short covering in stocks right? 03/17/2003 21:17:09 EST   i think u saw some demand BUT... 03/17/2003 21:17:17 EST   I think u just webn tto the top of the range 03/17/2003 21:17:23 EST   it happened so quick early - then stalled 03/17/2003 21:17:33 EST   t made new highs all day today 03/17/2003 21:17:39 EST   the action was constrictive 03/17/2003 21:17:45 EST   but we went to the top of the ramhe 03/17/2003 21:17:54 EST   resistance was at the 863 area 03/17/2003 21:17:57 EST   prev lows 03/17/2003 21:18:21 EST   User [Zack] joined forum from 64.124.132.80 03/17/2003 21:18:41 EST   I will talk on this tomorow in detail 03/17/2003 21:19:02 EST   actually the way i have it marked, it went to 50% retrace level - ? 03/17/2003 21:19:16 EST   thats correect john 03/17/2003 21:19:31 EST   ok 03/17/2003 21:19:59 EST   I will bring it up tomoorow as it is important 03/17/2003 21:20:10 EST   u were surprised by the rally today with war talk? 03/17/2003 21:20:13 EST   User [Zack] left forum. 03/17/2003 21:20:15 EST   03/17/2003 21:20:17 EST   n 03/17/2003 21:20:27 EST   just wondering if was demand or short covering 03/17/2003 21:20:34 EST   okay 03/17/2003 21:20:43 EST   we will go over the chart tomorow 03/17/2003 21:21:06 EST   good 03/17/2003 21:21:30 EST   okay 03/17/2003 21:21:39 EST   I want to talk on volume and price action 03/17/2003 21:22:02 EST   1 min please 03/17/2003 21:22:47 EST   good, i have time to vacuum my living room during the break :) LOL 03/17/2003 21:23:10 EST   mine too greg 03/17/2003 21:23:13 EST   do it need it greg?, lol 03/17/2003 21:23:19 EST   you must be bachelor, greg 03/17/2003 21:23:42 EST   nope mm, 9 month old in the house :) 03/17/2003 21:23:43 EST   joe millionaire 03/17/2003 21:24:01 EST   in a couple years i hope so john ;) lol 03/17/2003 21:24:08 EST   yes, you do to vacuum every day then - i remember 03/17/2003 21:24:13 EST   okay 03/17/2003 21:24:18 EST   lol mm 03/17/2003 21:24:29 EST   y mm ;) 03/17/2003 21:25:04 EST   dang! talked thru the break...the carpet will have to wait :) LOL 03/17/2003 21:25:11 EST   u must keep in mind the 3 wyckoff principles 03/17/2003 21:25:34 EST   this is important as we talk on volume and price 03/17/2003 21:26:26 EST   1. supply v demand, 2. cause v effect, 3. effort v result for those who need reminding :) 03/17/2003 21:26:32 EST   so 03/17/2003 21:26:35 EST   User [Zack] joined forum from 63.164.167.53 03/17/2003 21:26:41 EST   User [pat] joined forum from 63.164.20.59 03/17/2003 21:26:46 EST   volume is how agressive one wants to buy or sell 03/17/2003 21:26:51 EST   was just about to type that greg P 03/17/2003 21:26:57 EST   hi everyone 03/17/2003 21:26:59 EST   :) 03/17/2003 21:26:59 EST   in order for the market to go up someome MUST buy the offer price 03/17/2003 21:26:59 EST   Hi Pat 03/17/2003 21:27:02 EST   hi pat 03/17/2003 21:27:03 EST   hi pat 03/17/2003 21:27:03 EST   hey pat 03/17/2003 21:27:12 EST   hi pat 03/17/2003 21:27:16 EST   for the market to go down someone has to sell the bid 03/17/2003 21:27:22 EST   it is simple but imp 03/17/2003 21:28:06 EST   but just because someone buys the bid 03/17/2003 21:28:10 EST   and someone sells the offer 03/17/2003 21:28:17 EST   this doesnt mean a move will occur 03/17/2003 21:28:20 EST   understand? 03/17/2003 21:28:23 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:28:32 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:28:33 EST   03/17/2003 21:28:37 EST   good 03/17/2003 21:28:38 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:28:39 EST   User [wyatt] joined forum from 209.245.14.19 03/17/2003 21:28:40 EST   so how do we know 03/17/2003 21:28:42 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:28:50 EST   the quality of selling or the quality of buying 03/17/2003 21:28:54 EST   no, i dont get it 03/17/2003 21:28:58 EST   vol 03/17/2003 21:29:11 EST   right, kent 03/17/2003 21:29:34 EST   quality or quantity? quantity is depicted by volume. 03/17/2003 21:29:40 EST   :) 03/17/2003 21:29:56 EST   quality 03/17/2003 21:30:17 EST   If i am buy vs cargil buying 03/17/2003 21:30:45 EST   markets are alwasy going from strong hands to weak hands 03/17/2003 21:31:00 EST   from specs to good traders and vice versa 03/17/2003 21:31:09 EST   like a BC 03/17/2003 21:31:21 EST   from strong longs 9 cm) 03/17/2003 21:31:27 EST   to weak longs specs 03/17/2003 21:32:16 EST   and vice versa 03/17/2003 21:32:23 EST   on the selling cliamx 03/17/2003 21:32:41 EST   as I said we follow the foot stpes of the cm 03/17/2003 21:32:48 EST   by price action and volume 03/17/2003 21:33:08 EST   how do we know where demand will come in if a market is making contract lows? 03/17/2003 21:33:28 EST   we really dont do we? 03/17/2003 21:33:29 EST   by price action/vol 03/17/2003 21:33:32 EST   price and volume 03/17/2003 21:33:35 EST   by weekly and monthly support 03/17/2003 21:33:37 EST   :) 03/17/2003 21:33:44 EST   demand will come in from the cm at support 03/17/2003 21:33:50 EST   at support 03/17/2003 21:33:54 EST   no, we really dont know 03/17/2003 21:34:25 EST   after a spring 03/17/2003 21:34:25 EST   03/17/2003 21:34:26 EST   we assume the support will hold, dont know for sure till it happens 03/17/2003 21:34:41 EST   we'd look for support on a longer chart in the case of "contract" lows? 03/17/2003 21:34:44 EST   but how do we know support 03/17/2003 21:34:50 EST   if we have never traded there 03/17/2003 21:35:15 EST   reaction? 03/17/2003 21:35:19 EST   we dont 03/17/2003 21:35:22 EST   longer time frames--s & r 03/17/2003 21:35:28 EST   so evetaully there will be a reaction 03/17/2003 21:35:37 EST   continuation charts 03/17/2003 21:35:41 EST   it is from this reaction volume and price 03/17/2003 21:35:42 EST   you have to wait for climatic price action and vol 03/17/2003 21:35:50 EST   we can see if the market has found true demand 03/17/2003 21:37:01 EST   actionwell if there is cliamtic 03/17/2003 21:37:05 EST   selling climax 03/17/2003 21:37:18 EST   03/17/2003 21:37:19 EST   what happnnes? 03/17/2003 21:37:20 EST   figure chart will give you an area though :) lol 03/17/2003 21:37:39 EST   ar 03/17/2003 21:37:41 EST   ar 03/17/2003 21:37:45 EST   spring 03/17/2003 21:37:48 EST   ar 03/17/2003 21:38:01 EST   ar 03/17/2003 21:38:13 EST   transfer of ownership 03/17/2003 21:38:27 EST   SC---- panic selling by the specs and funds and the CM is buying it up 03/17/2003 21:38:56 EST   right dick 03/17/2003 21:39:02 EST   from the weaker sellers 03/17/2003 21:39:04 EST   to the cm 03/17/2003 21:39:15 EST   so at this point the volume is large 03/17/2003 21:39:21 EST   as the specs and funds sels 03/17/2003 21:39:26 EST   they have to sell to someone 03/17/2003 21:39:29 EST   there is a panic 03/17/2003 21:39:37 EST   weak longs getitng stopped out 03/17/2003 21:39:43 EST   and more shorts getting in 03/17/2003 21:39:45 EST   funds 03/17/2003 21:40:05 EST   so when this panic occurs 03/17/2003 21:40:12 EST   who can have the money and power to buy 03/17/2003 21:40:14 EST   ? 03/17/2003 21:40:17 EST   cm 03/17/2003 21:40:19 EST   cm 03/17/2003 21:40:19 EST   cm 03/17/2003 21:40:22 EST   cm 03/17/2003 21:40:23 EST   cm 03/17/2003 21:40:23 EST   cm 03/17/2003 21:40:36 EST   so u understand this right? 03/17/2003 21:40:40 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:40:42 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:40:42 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:40:46 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:40:49 EST   good 03/17/2003 21:41:18 EST   So gary if the cm did not come in to buy what would happen with the market 03/17/2003 21:41:19 EST   so we dont know as traders the bootom 03/17/2003 21:41:23 EST   but we can see the sc 03/17/2003 21:41:28 EST   there is risk in buying this 03/17/2003 21:41:30 EST   lower 03/17/2003 21:41:44 EST   User [cdavid] joined forum from 24.74.16.10 03/17/2003 21:41:48 EST   but we can see the sc as it happens 03/17/2003 21:41:52 EST   hi cd 03/17/2003 21:41:59 EST   hi all 03/17/2003 21:42:06 EST   hi cdavid 03/17/2003 21:42:10 EST   hi cd 03/17/2003 21:42:13 EST   so we can see this volume 03/17/2003 21:42:17 EST   hi cd 03/17/2003 21:42:22 EST   and the transfrnce of contracts 03/17/2003 21:42:27 EST   hi cd 03/17/2003 21:42:28 EST   so we can see the sc 03/17/2003 21:42:32 EST   now on the retest 03/17/2003 21:42:34 EST   hi mm, kent, dca, bc, pat 03/17/2003 21:42:36 EST   03/17/2003 21:42:47 EST   we are looking for what in volume? 03/17/2003 21:42:55 EST   decrease 03/17/2003 21:43:05 EST   lower 03/17/2003 21:43:05 EST   why? 03/17/2003 21:43:09 EST   lower volume 03/17/2003 21:43:11 EST   after the sc 03/17/2003 21:43:12 EST   less sellers 03/17/2003 21:43:23 EST   we have an automatic reaction and the volume isdecent 03/17/2003 21:44:30 EST   so on the retest 03/17/2003 21:44:34 EST   the volume is lighter 03/17/2003 21:44:38 EST   less supply as sellers recognize the area that suported prise befor 03/17/2003 21:44:47 EST   this means that there is less supply 03/17/2003 21:44:51 EST   or less selling 03/17/2003 21:44:57 EST   price 03/17/2003 21:44:57 EST   this is what one would expect 03/17/2003 21:45:08 EST   because the sellers are exhausted by the sc 03/17/2003 21:45:15 EST   yes dick 03/17/2003 21:45:21 EST   price action smaller too 03/17/2003 21:45:48 EST   I am getting there 03/17/2003 21:46:01 EST   :) 03/17/2003 21:46:37 EST   so we know why the volume is less on the retets right? 03/17/2003 21:46:41 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:46:44 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:46:45 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:46:45 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:46:46 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:46:47 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:46:48 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:46:51 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:46:51 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:47:06 EST   so what about price action on the rtest? 03/17/2003 21:47:27 EST   smaller range 03/17/2003 21:47:35 EST   yea, kent 03/17/2003 21:47:38 EST   less range 03/17/2003 21:47:41 EST   why is the range small 03/17/2003 21:47:51 EST   less vol 03/17/2003 21:47:53 EST   less sellers 03/17/2003 21:48:03 EST   so volume kinda matches price action right? 03/17/2003 21:48:09 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:48:10 EST   should 03/17/2003 21:48:11 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:48:13 EST   cm is buying at offer 03/17/2003 21:48:38 EST   User [Zack] left forum. 03/17/2003 21:48:50 EST   so the less selling 03/17/2003 21:48:54 EST   less price action 03/17/2003 21:48:57 EST   makes sense 03/17/2003 21:49:01 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:49:05 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:49:05 EST   effort vs result right 03/17/2003 21:49:05 EST   03/17/2003 21:49:19 EST   User [wyatt] left forum. 03/17/2003 21:49:24 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:49:28 EST   okay 03/17/2003 21:49:50 EST   so this was the easy part 03/17/2003 21:49:56 EST   hwat if the volume was heavy 03/17/2003 21:50:05 EST   but the price action ddint take out support 03/17/2003 21:50:05 EST   more down 03/17/2003 21:50:10 EST   u may have to review this log 03/17/2003 21:50:15 EST   sellers still there 03/17/2003 21:50:21 EST   forget i said that for now 03/17/2003 21:50:25 EST   but the volume was not as heavy as the sc 03/17/2003 21:50:29 EST   red flag 03/17/2003 21:50:34 EST   right kent 03/17/2003 21:50:36 EST   why? 03/17/2003 21:50:42 EST   someone is supporting the price 03/17/2003 21:50:48 EST   maybe cd 03/17/2003 21:50:51 EST   right 03/17/2003 21:50:55 EST   if there is volume 03/17/2003 21:51:01 EST   and the market holds up 03/17/2003 21:51:12 EST   and the volume is heavy but not as heavy as the sc volume 03/17/2003 21:51:17 EST   there are willing selllers 03/17/2003 21:51:22 EST   prob by specs and funds 03/17/2003 21:51:40 EST   BUT someone is upporting that increased volume by holding it above support 03/17/2003 21:51:47 EST   User [Zack] joined forum from 64.124.132.80 03/17/2003 21:51:53 EST   who has the power to take on that volume 03/17/2003 21:51:54 EST   now who could it be? 03/17/2003 21:51:59 EST   cm 03/17/2003 21:52:00 EST   good old cm 03/17/2003 21:52:04 EST   cm controlling the range 03/17/2003 21:52:04 EST   cm 03/17/2003 21:52:09 EST   zack 03/17/2003 21:52:09 EST   price action and volume didnt match increase volume price didnt break support!!! 03/17/2003 21:52:35 EST   bullish 03/17/2003 21:52:47 EST   so u can get in crease in volume 03/17/2003 21:52:52 EST   but be bullish too right? 03/17/2003 21:52:57 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:53:01 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:53:01 EST   that si why most cant read volume 03/17/2003 21:53:01 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:53:03 EST   y 03/17/2003 21:53:17 EST   because they think increase voluem on the down is bearish 03/17/2003 21:53:18 EST   as long as no break in support...right 03/17/2003 21:53:18 EST   03/17/2003 21:53:23 EST   right 03/17/2003 21:53:30 EST   because if u get an increase in volume 03/17/2003 21:53:34 EST   on a break 03/17/2003 21:53:41 EST   u would expect support to be broken 03/17/2003 21:53:44 EST   User [wyatt] joined forum from 172.128.227.86 03/17/2003 21:53:44 EST   if it didnt 03/17/2003 21:54:07 EST   someone is buying it above support!!! 03/17/2003 21:54:25 EST   otherwise that volume 03/17/2003 21:54:28 EST   would yiou tell by next day's action if not going to break support - or next few days 03/17/2003 21:54:29 EST   would break the support 03/17/2003 21:54:39 EST   it would appear that fund sand specs are selling 03/17/2003 21:54:43 EST   the cm saw the SC 03/17/2003 21:54:48 EST   and he isa supporting prices 03/17/2003 21:56:10 EST   someone is taking on this increased volume 03/17/2003 21:56:18 EST   what if the close was at the bottom of the large volume? 03/17/2003 21:56:31 EST   would that still be bullish? 03/17/2003 21:56:34 EST   i am getting to closing prices soon :) 03/17/2003 21:57:10 EST   now so we can see that volume increase can be bullish or bearish 03/17/2003 21:57:24 EST   it realy depends on price action and volume 03/17/2003 21:57:25 EST   now 03/17/2003 21:57:30 EST   if u get a stuation 03/17/2003 21:57:41 EST   where the volume is increased on this retest 03/17/2003 21:58:05 EST   and the price action is small 03/17/2003 21:58:11 EST   but the close is low end 03/17/2003 21:58:21 EST   but the ramge les say in wheat is like 2 cents 03/17/2003 21:58:24 EST   after the sc 03/17/2003 21:58:32 EST   what does this say larger volume 03/17/2003 21:58:37 EST   small range weak close? 03/17/2003 21:58:42 EST   down 03/17/2003 21:58:59 EST   it says that the cm s controlling the range 03/17/2003 21:59:04 EST   as long as support holds, 03/17/2003 21:59:06 EST   shucks! 03/17/2003 21:59:08 EST   he is NOT letting the market to break 03/17/2003 21:59:27 EST   he is keepin ghte market tight for a reason 03/17/2003 21:59:28 EST   why? 03/17/2003 21:59:40 EST   accumulation 03/17/2003 21:59:42 EST   accumulation 03/17/2003 21:59:47 EST   accumulation 03/17/2003 21:59:49 EST   protect his position 03/17/2003 21:59:52 EST   he doesn't have his full position yet 03/17/2003 21:59:55 EST   he is keepin git tight 03/17/2003 22:00:09 EST   because he doesnt wnat to have th amrket show a negative icture 03/17/2003 22:00:12 EST   tech wise 03/17/2003 22:00:17 EST   right kris 03/17/2003 22:00:18 EST   03/17/2003 22:00:23 EST   he wants to get long 03/17/2003 22:00:27 EST   because after the sc 03/17/2003 22:00:38 EST   he wants to conduct a campighn to get long eventualy 03/17/2003 22:00:47 EST   s he want to buy 03/17/2003 22:00:51 EST   the area 03/17/2003 22:00:53 EST   near the sc 03/17/2003 22:00:59 EST   in that TR that will be formed 03/17/2003 22:01:41 EST   the cm would prefer not to g thur large drawdowns either 03/17/2003 22:01:43 EST   User [firedog] joined forum from 64.156.76.17 03/17/2003 22:01:51 EST   hi fd 03/17/2003 22:01:55 EST   hi fd 03/17/2003 22:01:59 EST   hi fd 03/17/2003 22:02:01 EST   yo 03/17/2003 22:02:04 EST   so he is trying to protect his postion 03/17/2003 22:02:16 EST   Now if the range was wide on that break 03/17/2003 22:02:23 EST   and the market held support 03/17/2003 22:02:28 EST   but close don the lows 03/17/2003 22:02:32 EST   this isnt as bullish 03/17/2003 22:02:50 EST   as the market was able to overtake demand 03/17/2003 22:03:23 EST   so the low end close can mean 2 things 03/17/2003 22:03:26 EST   do u seee this 03/17/2003 22:03:31 EST   it will depends on the range 03/17/2003 22:03:36 EST   y - glad to hear you explaining this 03/17/2003 22:03:36 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:03:37 EST   what the close will mean 03/17/2003 22:03:45 EST   soU cna have heavy volume light volume 03/17/2003 22:03:50 EST   large range 03/17/2003 22:03:50 EST   i see it but will i remember it? 03/17/2003 22:03:52 EST   small range 03/17/2003 22:03:56 EST   lol 03/17/2003 22:04:00 EST   and it al can mean differnt things 03/17/2003 22:04:22 EST   User [greg] left forum. 03/17/2003 22:04:41 EST   Maybe CM would allow weak close to try to shake out a few more longs. 03/17/2003 22:04:45 EST   hi greg 03/17/2003 22:04:53 EST   bye greg 03/17/2003 22:04:54 EST   sometimes 03/17/2003 22:05:37 EST   so what is important 03/17/2003 22:05:42 EST   User [greg] joined forum from 206.58.228.220 03/17/2003 22:05:50 EST   is to look at volume price action and close 03/17/2003 22:05:56 EST   and to see if the bears or bulls won 03/17/2003 22:06:14 EST   there is alwasy a battle 03/17/2003 22:06:27 EST   so when a market will retest on light volume or heavy volume 03/17/2003 22:06:35 EST   it can mean 2 differnt things 03/17/2003 22:06:48 EST   03/17/2003 22:07:44 EST   so how do we balance those 3 things? 03/17/2003 22:08:06 EST   carefully 03/17/2003 22:08:10 EST   its easier to do in theory than in practice gary :) lol 03/17/2003 22:08:18 EST   wise comment kent 03/17/2003 22:08:49 EST   very true 03/17/2003 22:08:54 EST   :) 03/17/2003 22:09:01 EST   we will spend alot of time on this over the next few weeksa 03/17/2003 22:09:38 EST   it's really hard to belive you don't charge for all this info 03/17/2003 22:09:57 EST   you never got a bill? 03/17/2003 22:10:02 EST   I wnat u to know this 03/17/2003 22:10:04 EST   LOL 03/17/2003 22:10:07 EST   LOL cd 03/17/2003 22:10:16 EST   sowhy are closes imp 03/17/2003 22:10:24 EST   because they tell the last hand dealt 03/17/2003 22:10:33 EST   but why do u see many times a market close on the close 03/17/2003 22:10:34 EST   The theory is free Kent---but it is you that will have to put in the blood sweat and tears to learn how to apply it properly :) 03/17/2003 22:10:41 EST   and rally sharrply the neext day 03/17/2003 22:10:50 EST   right zack 03/17/2003 22:11:01 EST   very true zack 03/17/2003 22:11:03 EST   U hthis happnen many times in a bull market 03/17/2003 22:11:12 EST   I'm really trying 03/17/2003 22:11:12 EST   a weak close than a move back up as a shake out 03/17/2003 22:11:58 EST   don't understand gary, the mkt close on the close? 03/17/2003 22:12:06 EST   when u see a market going thur a large range 03/17/2003 22:12:08 EST   price range 03/17/2003 22:12:15 EST   2 things may be happneing 03/17/2003 22:12:23 EST   one ther eis supply or demand co,ming in 03/17/2003 22:12:25 EST   or 2 03/17/2003 22:12:29 EST   close on low, cd 03/17/2003 22:12:39 EST   the cm is letting the market do it s things till he reverses the trend 03/17/2003 22:12:46 EST   k 03/17/2003 22:12:46 EST   how do u know the differnce 03/17/2003 22:13:03 EST   by the vol 03/17/2003 22:13:04 EST   by the reaction 03/17/2003 22:13:08 EST   the differnce id by the trned 03/17/2003 22:13:17 EST   many times 03/17/2003 22:13:23 EST   the cm will be accumualting 03/17/2003 22:13:56 EST   and he will allow the market to break on liught volume 03/17/2003 22:13:58 EST   why? 03/17/2003 22:14:09 EST   shake us out 03/17/2003 22:14:10 EST   testing supply 03/17/2003 22:14:14 EST   wants better price 03/17/2003 22:14:23 EST   spring or shake-out, testing supply 03/17/2003 22:14:24 EST   right 03/17/2003 22:14:32 EST   03/17/2003 22:14:34 EST   he wants to buy at a good price 03/17/2003 22:14:48 EST   and a shakeout as well 03/17/2003 22:15:12 EST   now if the market was breaking on heavier volume 03/17/2003 22:15:18 EST   the cm would probbaly 03/17/2003 22:15:25 EST   would buy at a higher price 03/17/2003 22:15:28 EST   then let it drop 03/17/2003 22:15:43 EST   because he knows that is the volume was heavy the tech damage would be great 03/17/2003 22:15:53 EST   and he would have to defend a postion 03/17/2003 22:15:56 EST   with money 03/17/2003 22:16:00 EST   and he may not wnat that 03/17/2003 22:16:13 EST   u may have to read this several times 03/17/2003 22:16:40 EST   would he buy at the higher price or sell his longs? 03/17/2003 22:16:57 EST   yes he would kent in a TR 03/17/2003 22:17:13 EST   so 03/17/2003 22:17:15 EST   which 03/17/2003 22:17:20 EST   both 03/17/2003 22:17:28 EST   there are times where a cm will support price and at times he wll let them go 03/17/2003 22:17:33 EST   on a lught volume break 03/17/2003 22:17:39 EST   he wount support it many times 03/17/2003 22:17:50 EST   becaus ehe knows the market would hur him 03/17/2003 22:17:55 EST   but if the volume picke dup 03/17/2003 22:18:00 EST   he would buy that selling 03/17/2003 22:18:06 EST   and make the range tighter 03/17/2003 22:18:16 EST   so the selling would be marteched by his buying 03/17/2003 22:18:31 EST   understand 03/17/2003 22:18:37 EST   i know this maybbe confusing 03/17/2003 22:18:46 EST   but I have to talk on volume and price 03/17/2003 22:18:51 EST   i'm surprised the ladies here keep letting us refer to the cm as "he" 03/17/2003 22:18:55 EST   and thier realationship 03/17/2003 22:18:59 EST   lol 03/17/2003 22:19:03 EST   he or she : 03/17/2003 22:19:19 EST   will this be logged tonight - i am making page breaks when i just put in my name and am copying in case it isn't 03/17/2003 22:19:31 EST   composite mind 03/17/2003 22:19:33 EST   he/she/them/they-----cm is not one person :) 03/17/2003 22:19:38 EST   no PC allowed here cd :) LOL 03/17/2003 22:19:42 EST   composite meg 03/17/2003 22:19:47 EST   Gary, you mentioned CM would buy at a higher price and allow a break to proceed? 03/17/2003 22:20:14 EST   it should be 03/17/2003 22:20:29 EST   i didnt say that did i kris? 03/17/2003 22:20:35 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:20:37 EST   yes 03/17/2003 22:20:42 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:20:45 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:20:46 EST   that's what it looked ;ike 03/17/2003 22:20:51 EST   like 03/17/2003 22:21:00 EST   ikes 03/17/2003 22:21:38 EST   but in context I thought you meant the opposite; as a typing mistake 03/17/2003 22:21:40 EST   there are times where a cm will suport price 03/17/2003 22:21:47 EST   mee to fd 03/17/2003 22:21:48 EST   there are times imn which he let let it fall 03/17/2003 22:22:12 EST   if i said that i didnt mean tooo 03/17/2003 22:22:13 EST   Maybe you meant sell at a higher price and then let it fall? 03/17/2003 22:22:25 EST   i did if i didnt say that 03/17/2003 22:22:40 EST   ok, thats what I thought you meant 03/17/2003 22:22:49 EST   OK, i was a little confused (nothing unusual there!) 03/17/2003 22:23:00 EST   the cm 03/17/2003 22:24:05 EST   what is important ids trend 03/17/2003 22:24:08 EST   many times u 03/17/2003 22:24:13 EST   will see the daily action poor 03/17/2003 22:24:20 EST   but the overall trned is up 03/17/2003 22:24:32 EST   so u have to weigh that price action and volume 03/17/2003 22:24:43 EST   but that will be another days topic 03/17/2003 22:24:58 EST   but volume is like the gas in a car 03/17/2003 22:25:04 EST   more volume u should go farther 03/17/2003 22:25:21 EST   more gas more volume 03/17/2003 22:25:23 EST   and faster too gary :) 03/17/2003 22:25:24 EST   more of a move 03/17/2003 22:25:31 EST   and further the car goes 03/17/2003 22:25:42 EST   if u have a lot of gas car gas 03/17/2003 22:25:54 EST   lol 03/17/2003 22:25:58 EST   lol 03/17/2003 22:25:58 EST   and u get 10 mph rather than 20 mph 03/17/2003 22:26:12 EST   thats a red flag to a car right 03/17/2003 22:26:18 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:26:26 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:26:35 EST   well same with markets heavy volume 03/17/2003 22:26:45 EST   no mvbemtn red flag 03/17/2003 22:26:51 EST   momentum 03/17/2003 22:27:29 EST   User [Zack] left forum. 03/17/2003 22:27:34 EST   so u have to weight volume vs price action vs close 03/17/2003 22:27:39 EST   there is alot to say on this 03/17/2003 22:27:44 EST   and I will go over it 03/17/2003 22:27:48 EST   but I wnat to show u 03/17/2003 22:27:57 EST   that u can have a small price range break 03/17/2003 22:28:05 EST   with heavy volume 03/17/2003 22:28:25 EST   this is what i called stuffing 03/17/2003 22:28:34 EST   many times a pressing to the floor 03/17/2003 22:28:48 EST   this is reversal type reaction 03/17/2003 22:29:00 EST   one would expect increased volume to the down 03/17/2003 22:29:04 EST   to give large 03/17/2003 22:29:15 EST   break 03/17/2003 22:29:20 EST   but if the range is small 03/17/2003 22:29:26 EST   the cm is buying this selling 03/17/2003 22:29:40 EST   when u se eheavy volume and price action not matching 03/17/2003 22:29:43 EST   tis is a red flag 03/17/2003 22:30:06 EST   undersstand? 03/17/2003 22:30:10 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:30:10 EST   does this only occur at the end of a move or can happen any time 03/17/2003 22:30:28 EST   culd happen anytime 03/17/2003 22:30:33 EST   but when u have a sc 03/17/2003 22:30:45 EST   this occurs more often then if u had an uptrnd 03/17/2003 22:30:57 EST   i awhat i am saying i that 03/17/2003 22:31:02 EST   what u have a trend 03/17/2003 22:31:08 EST   after u have a BC or sc 03/17/2003 22:31:15 EST   the trned to the cm has changed 03/17/2003 22:31:20 EST   he will defend that postion 03/17/2003 22:31:33 EST   so he will want the techs t look good 03/17/2003 22:31:40 EST   he will protect his potion 03/17/2003 22:31:44 EST   as he bides his time 03/17/2003 22:31:54 EST   if hebouhgt on the sc 03/17/2003 22:31:58 EST   or sold at the bc 03/17/2003 22:32:01 EST   on a rteest 03/17/2003 22:32:07 EST   he will defend his postion right/. 03/17/2003 22:32:11 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:32:15 EST   makes sense 03/17/2003 22:32:24 EST   if the cm buys a SC 03/17/2003 22:32:28 EST   r 03/17/2003 22:32:28 EST   the first time 03/17/2003 22:32:33 EST   he will defend that area right 03/17/2003 22:32:38 EST   if he wants to accumalted 03/17/2003 22:32:38 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:32:41 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:32:46 EST   and vice versa on the bc 03/17/2003 22:32:58 EST   makes sense that he would defend it right? 03/17/2003 22:33:04 EST   yes 03/17/2003 22:33:05 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:33:08 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:33:09 EST   if he thinks it is going much under the sc 03/17/2003 22:33:11 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:33:11 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:33:12 EST   why buy? 03/17/2003 22:33:25 EST   User [Scrooge McDuck] joined forum from 63.164.167.53 03/17/2003 22:33:31 EST   then it wouldnt be a SC 03/17/2003 22:33:31 EST   Hi Joe 03/17/2003 22:33:38 EST   hi joe 03/17/2003 22:33:39 EST   the cm doesnt wnat to lose money either 03/17/2003 22:34:03 EST   good 03/17/2003 22:34:08 EST   r 03/17/2003 22:34:21 EST   i know i covered sme things on volume and I will be doing this over the next few weeks 03/17/2003 22:34:31 EST   very good - 03/17/2003 22:34:33 EST   i want to go slow as not to confuse u 03/17/2003 22:34:42 EST   scrooge, good to see you again :) 03/17/2003 22:34:44 EST   but the log will be there 03/17/2003 22:34:53 EST   tmoroow i will be discussing sot 03/17/2003 22:34:58 EST   absportion 03/17/2003 22:35:00 EST   and upthursts 03/17/2003 22:35:04 EST   give me the two year plajn then... 03/17/2003 22:35:07 EST   with soem charts and other charts as wel 03/17/2003 22:35:07 EST   great- thanks Gary 03/17/2003 22:35:09 EST   thanks Gary good stuff tonight 03/17/2003 22:35:09 EST   plan 03/17/2003 22:35:20 EST   did tonight help? 03/17/2003 22:35:23 EST   thanx gary 03/17/2003 22:35:26 EST   ya 03/17/2003 22:35:26 EST   did I confus eu 03/17/2003 22:35:28 EST   y 03/17/2003 22:35:31 EST   great class, gary - like pat said, "If i can remember to use it" - glad you keep reinforcing 03/17/2003 22:35:31 EST   ya 03/17/2003 22:35:33 EST   u may have to read a few times 03/17/2003 22:35:33 EST   no 03/17/2003 22:35:36 EST   as always gary, it all helps :) 03/17/2003 22:35:38 EST   but in a few weeks u will know it 03/17/2003 22:35:45 EST   yes very much 03/17/2003 22:35:46 EST   very good gary, thians 03/17/2003 22:35:51 EST   thanks 03/17/2003 22:35:52 EST   good any questions? 03/17/2003 22:36:02 EST   thanks gary--nite all 03/17/2003 22:36:05 EST   User [pat] left forum. 03/17/2003 22:36:07 EST   i wont go further with volume because i wont be able to finish the next thoughts 03/17/2003 22:36:08 EST   thanks Gary - goodnight to all 03/17/2003 22:36:16 EST   User [meg] left forum. 03/17/2003 22:36:17 EST   i will see u all tm oorow night 03/17/2003 22:36:20 EST   night all 03/17/2003 22:36:21 EST   good stuff, gary 03/17/2003 22:36:21 EST   god night thank u 03/17/2003 22:36:23 EST   nite all - see ya tomorrow 03/17/2003 22:36:24 EST   User [gary fullett] left forum.