User [gary fullett /204.233.213.78] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 21:00:35 EST 2002 What browser are you using when you have problems?? mine does that sometimes good evening hi gary Hey Gary how is everyone tonight good fine Hi Gary good. hi gary ie 6.0 summer here in fl gary And you, Gary? Did you have a hard day? well thank u normal day here good Normal day here too. ie. hard day :) lol A normal 20 hour fay? lol Busy day for me--short staffed--had to cover some extra bases :) thats good only 4 bases Gary i was looking at cocoa and we are going thru the 9 phases of dis on it as well as oats More in my ballpark GAry :) it is lol i would agree I just can't put the teaching down when i get home the cd discs will help goes into alot of detail that I cant go into yes defenitely can't spell tonight its great lots o schematics I cnat type any day cant LOL Gary, is there some way to donate the money from this to a Wyckoff project of some sort? good thing i have my dictionary close by Looks like everybody else will have some work to do to catch up with you George :) before I begin any questions? by presidents day george will know all of wyckoff and will be taching class lol Of course, I have questions! by the way wyckoff couldnt type on a computer either I knwo that for a fact so we are in good company LOL--only used an abacus eh ?? lol yep How about a typewriter? drew lines in the sand I learned knowledge is power information is how you get it maybe he used one not sure yes geoerge q ray? If you see a buy, like a good retest of a JOC, but the markets (Index for stocks) are headed down, do you buy the retest, or wait until the markets (Index) turns up? that is a great great great q Sorry to talk about stocks, but I don't know if it's the same as comodities. thats fine ray You don't mind? Nope Thanks the answer would be that u should buy that stock becuase the market may rally for a time before it heads down again so uiu may reach your objective on a reation rally and make money so if u see a wyckoff trade u should take it that si why i like to trade commodties ray because u dont have a situation like that where the general market or a sector is down buit u wish to buy a stock User [greg /209.216.171.104] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 21:11:06 EST 2002 and in commodties u can sell as easy as buy hi all but not in stocks hi greg Yes, going short is a drag! Plus you still have a lot of "irrational exhuberance" in a lot of stocks :) does that make sense ray? does that help? lol yes, it does. thanks!!!! esepcailly a retest of creek it is the safest buy for u also u should determine your cause so if u have cause for a stock of 4 bucks in a downtrend User [Wally /66.218.6.39] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 21:12:51 EST 2002 Zack which browser do you use? U must get out becuase hi wally the general market may take it down so your cause should tell u when to liquidate hi guys! hi wally I only go short when I think it's a disturbition phase. hi Wally hi wally in case the cm takes it down, I'm on the correct side. good:) great q though gotta go, got company tonight, c u all tomorrow short and sweet hmmm :) User [greg] left forum on Wed Jan 23 21:14:54 EST 2002 somehting I said huh :) night greg But I am finding that too many times I just get scared out of the trade, and then watch it run after I'm out. george too late lol i see thats okay rya thats a good habit money monagement Ray--when you get scared you may want to consider tightening up your stop rather then geting out Yes, I suppose you are right, because if I stay in, it just get worse. Providing you are at break even or better I hate stops u will find the longer u trade the faster u run You won't survive for long without them Wally :) if u think u r wrong get out they always cost me money Yes, Zack, I am finding out that is is important to get in AT the resistance, and not wait to see if it's going to go. or support Wally---the first rule in commodities is ---SURVIVAL but without them they will cost alot more I know, I do have mental stops good wally mental is good Without stops you better have a haair trigger and the guts to pull out fast when it starts to go against you right! User [steve /165.247.11.2] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 21:19:01 EST 2002 hi steve Yes, Zack, I use mental stops also, and I guess I got to many guts, because I get out to soon sometimes. hi steve hi george an dgary :) I know great traders that use mental stops and do well and I know great traders who place stop s and do well whatever your niche is if u use mental stops Gary gave a good talk on the proper use of stops a while ago---check the archives for that session U MUST be dispilined sometimes u may leta postion go against u more than u want but thinking that u will be rigght so risking more sometimes is okay if the longer term u feel that u r right does that make sense/ but the good thing about getting out with a loss is that U CLEAR YOUR HEAD!!!!! no1 rule never trade with out a stop Yes, Gary, I did that today. Tommorrow we'll see if I was smart or dumb! :) so either a mental stop or one in the pit should be used kelly great point ken not kelly Kelly never has great points ::LOL lol I'm send her an email with that quote on it! :)LOL she will see it in the archives :) Oh I don't know GAry--I can think of a couple of good points about Kelly :):) Gary, can we discuss Kelly tonight? when u get a chance let me know LOL sure we can go ahead ray I don't know a thing, I'm waiting for the teacher. lol okay any other questions? Don't know kelly but she did a good job on the CD. did u like the way the cd came out holland? Gary when are you going to put your picture on your web site? I thought she did a great job u dont want to see me U barely want to hear me lol I look the way I type I can tell u what I look like and u dont need to se a pic okay if anyone is interested k 6'3'' 220# ? NOOOOOOOOO not close Put Kelly's picture on the site---I'm sure she is better looking :) anyone watch the show Seinefeld? Mush better y Much not mush y I look like one of the charaters in fact I was asked for autographs George? as I walked the street George's father. so I sign ed it that what about george he is here :) the character in Singfield From the show? Yes I look like george Yep zack wins the pointy hat User [shrooms /199.174.168.174] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 21:27:27 EST 2002 now u dont need a pic hi shrooms okay any other q This is one I've had for a while, but never ask. Gaybwhen you talk about Wyckoff you sound like you are 6'3" why not 6 ' 4 okay ray please :p I can't get the copy to work what copy? You are always saying that price should react good be right back User [George] left forum on Wed Jan 23 21:29:26 EST 2002 but what should I expect if the reaction is NOT good. the trend to contunue i will explian good about reactions tonight okay I would love to hear it. i had several q on that from clients the last few days and u will tonight is wyckoff principles jump across the river with point and finger charts? 1 minute please then we will begin I will talk on reactions and what to look for okay this will be good for u so take good notes :) thank god for archives!!:) lol okay lets begin Thank Kelly for archves firrst u must keep in mind time frames User [George /65.69.98.176] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 21:34:02 EST 2002 User [steve] left forum on Wed Jan 23 21:34:09 EST 2002 that si importan and u mut keep perspective gary are you bald also? not fully must User [steve /165.247.11.2] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 21:34:39 EST 2002 i checked out the seinfeld web page just now bald is beautful lol in a down trend supply is eveident right? or selling y so it is demand that Must prove itself for strenghth lets say beans are in a down trend last weeks high was 440 the low this week was 420 so far so good? yes the market is breaking back to support at 420 we know supply is evident but we know 420 is a retest of support right? y y y y would you say this is a retest of sc I am talking about a trading range 440-420 k so we get to 420 the volume isnt heavy or light then the market picks iup volume and the market rallies to 430 so on the rally the volume picks up is this bullish or bearish mind u we havent taken out 440 yet bullish bullish bullish could be either bullish reaction from support demand has surfaced correct maurice right to a degree but not where I am going here :) k okay so the volume picked up on the rally but we havent approached the 440 ressiatnce the market now pulls back volume is okay not to heavt not to light we get the the 422 area the market has increase volume agian about the same as we got to when we just retested 430 and now the market rallies to the 427 area and begins to encounter resiatnce but the voluem was similar is this bullish or bearish? bearish we reacted off of support again bullish ray wins :) Supply is her here the market went higher, this is bullish we made a lower high hooray for ray with the same volume that we had when we went to 430 so the same voluem didnt give us the same reaction Send the check to: Ray..... this means deamdn is waning ok i see I said before te trend was down so it is DEMAND or BUYING that must prove itself we made a lower high t that is what a downtrend is User [Mega /67.80.35.57] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 21:47:23 EST 2002 a lower high Hi mega so the fact hi all going to corner 2 minutes high sticking 4 minutes cross checking we didnt take out resiatnce at 430 hi mega with the same volume bearish and a broken nose to boot... which wyckoff principle is this? lol We don't go to the corner if we are wrong, we would spend to much wasted time in the corner if we did. ?effort result effot vs. result yes......... User [Mega] left forum on Wed Jan 23 21:49:05 EST 2002 the same effort gave us a less result User [Mega /67.80.35.57] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 21:49:26 EST 2002 so the reaction from support wasnt as good after the retest Gary are you talking about preliminary sup.? Nope horizontal support in a trading range I am just talking raction correct I am talking reactions So what can I expect to happen now? Back down to support? I'm too sleepy to think okay so we go to 422 area and the volume begins to increase on the break what does this tell u? by the time we are done tonight u will lnow about reactions Demand is showing No opposite ray supply is showing the lower reaction tells us the supply is increasing as the market Now is brwaking on heavier volume with a bad reaction form 422 support right wally this means that the 420 area probbaly will be broken User [George /65.69.98.176] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 21:53:22 EST 2002 but u would have known this by the last reaction from 422 to 427 not to interupt, I missed which market you are discussing.. okay no markets tonight mega hypothetical trading range between 420 and 440 wyckoff principles effort vs result now about reactions User [George] left forum on Wed Jan 23 21:55:26 EST 2002 ok.. was searching for something trading around 422... so we see that the amrket isnt reacting from support like it did originally from 420 to 430 the supply just increased after the demand failed to materialize aftre the retest so the reaction from support at first was decent but then afer another retest the reaction wasnt as great the cm would see this relaize demand is waning and a breaking of the ice will occur under 420 dont forget I said the trena was down trend now lets say the rally went to 436 instead of 427 so the market did make a higher high above 430 but it didnt take out resiatnce at 440 is this bullish? y yep a higher higher and on a retest demand showed up lets say we retest 440 and the voluem now begins to wane what does this teel u? tell demand is not coming in demand is not here. demand waning downdown even though the reaction from 420 was good will not make it through 440 the market still hasnt proven itself why? need more cause because we are in a DOWNTREND!!!!!!! What time frame GAry---LOL lol get the banner because demand MUST prove itself in a downtrend and so far yes we got a good reaction BUT so you would expect greater volume as approach 440 the market still needs to rally above previous highs 4309 at 440 we know that is ressiatnce for demand to prove itself I would expect a fight there if I see 440 appraoached and voume in creasing I know the fight is there Now what do I expect to see? on the retets of 440 resiatnce? ? lo price range, heavy volume JOC? at least a break out for a bit. I want to see the REACTION from the 440 area if we b reak hard and volume increases this is support at the top of the range if the market stays at the 437-438 area on increased voume after 440 is hit what does this say? still demand, but supply also. it says the supply is being absorbed demand has stopped the retracement from 440 did you mean support at top of range? why/ because the REACTION FROM RESIATANCE is poor that means that the increase in volume is being absorbed by willing buyers how do I knwo this>? because the markets isnt breaking!!!!!!! price will not go up. no ray price will NOT go down or down if i appraoch ressiatnce I expect the market to react right? if that reaction from resisatnce isnt great someone is supporting the market to keep it from breaking who do u think that is? That's easy, the CM of course. :) it isnt johnny 1 lot someone is selling the market isnt breaking what does this tell u Awwww--that lets me out :) me too zack that resistance will probably be broken on next rally? yes great! the fact u had deamdn from support 420 and the fact u r Not reacting from ressiatnce at 440 tells u demand is over taking supply CM preparing for possible JOC demand proved itself YES YES YES because market is going up on decent volume The CM is buying all he can, so he's about ready to take it up and isnt reacting from resisttance he is buying hte selling or supply right ray U can tell this BY the markets REATION!!!!!!!!!!! it reacted well off of support HEY! I'm 3 out of 8. kind of like my trading! and didnt react from resisatance :) do u see the differnce in the 2 examples / ? very helpful yes. y y I will not leave u tonight without u knowing how markets react :) dont forget the trend was down so supply was evident So this was a reversal? Now the market is showing demand because buying is now over taking demadn this move from 420 to 440 could be a sign of strenghth could be maurice you can have a sign of strength inside of trading range? so it is how quick and volume and price action from percived support/or resiatance is how u gauge the strenghth or weakness of a market yes u can wally User [shrooms] left forum on Wed Jan 23 22:16:33 EST 2002 news if it takes u 2 weeks to go from 440 to 420 and 2 days to go from 420 to 440 I didnt see that wally the word news:) 2 days to rally 20 cents and 2 weeks to break 20 cents is this strenghth or weakness? strength strength strenght st st yes why? you call this sos because the rally is sharper than the break the path of least resisatnce is Up not down the reaction is stronger on rallies than breaks the market is in a hurry to rally and not in a hurry to break demand has appeared big time. it is onw of the sos wally yes as u get the CD tks we will be able to go into more advance wyckoff Like there are 3 types of springs I talk about a spring in general oh No you will lose me no way steve :) we will get everyone to spedd speed That was a terrific explanation on "reaction"Gary--should be printed out and kept by all of us--thank you no one will be left behind just like the army right Zack! A very good idea, Zack so what is important about reactions/ yes It is the speed magnitude and volume that is important as I say many mnay times User [scott /63.243.54.120] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 22:24:05 EST 2002 so when U see support and u se ressiatnce it is the REACTION from these areas that is ioporantant Not that it is support or ressiatnce wyckoff said Hmmmmm---seems to me I've heard that once or twice before somewhere :) it isnt that it is support or ressiatnce but what happens at those points because supports and resiatnce get broken all the time BUT the reactiosn will tell u ytrend and will tell u strenghth or weakess all amrkets hit support and ressuatnce I have always thought of reactions as just the adjacent bars, not the lower highs and lows. this helps me see a larger picture of reaction. do u know what seperates wyckoff from it because we know to watch for the QAULITY of support resistance most people just look at support ressiance peope think they understand volume they DONT we know about effort vs result with volume if a market rallies on higher volume they say bullish I say I am not so sure why what was the price range if the amrket had higher volum but price action was poor on the rally most people will say bullish I say bearish why because the heavier volumem didnt make the market REACT well what does this tell me/ it tells me someone is selling and making the range not as large as somesome bulllish wpuld like so someone is selling the increased volume how do u think that is? effort 9 volume ) effort ( volume) vs result (price action) the cm is elling User [kz yamaha /66.19.1.89] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 22:30:09 EST 2002 do u understand hi Kz Yamaha Most will say market higher increased volume Bullish hi steve Not alwasy true Gary, in our example, would you buy at the 420 support? yep and if the reaction wasnt good GET OUT!!!!!! Okay, I got it ok the lessor the reaction from support the more bearish the amrket is same thing on the upside markets shoudl react from horizonatl support or resisatnce If no, thIs is RED FLAG so must correlate volume vs price action Hi Ray how often do u correlate volume vs price action? hi KZ hi gary please continue Continually right all the time not just intraday not daily nor weeklt BUT all the time all the time frames this concept tells u trehghth and weakness of a market why is this important because the amrket is alwasy I mean always testing and retesting it self the cm will buy 100 contracts sell 75 at a small loss to see which side gets absorbed better he is teating and probing the market this is very very imporyant what they do and thier role do u understand? please stop me if u dont yes y are the number 100 and 75 contracts important? why not 100 and 100 poor question? they arent important just arbitary numbers ok he will buy and sell and lose money to probe the market Ask, and be a fool for 10 minutes, don't ask and be a fool for life. probing the market great Ray lol the cm can still fake us out with this action can't he? not if we are alert lol yep wally that is why U must watch volume and price action all the time an all time thing not an occasional thing so if u see price action and volume not correlating this is a RED flag are you saying the cm can't cover his tracks in the price and volume? and not the flag of former russia well u can see volume right? can u see price action right? so if u know how to nterprt it u will think ike the cm if u cant see what he is doing he makes more money good point, thanks rsi adx User [Holland /64.240.52.232] joined forum on Wed Jan 23 22:45:10 EST 2002 are tricks they are lagging indicators He does leave footprints Wally---Wyckoff is all about reading those footprints to try to follow the CM's intentions and go with him--not against him volume and price action happen in front of your beautiful eyes if u are good enough to see his intentions great he doesnt care But for most everyone he gets em with exp u can think more like the cm you are getting poetic I didnt mean it but it sounded good huh please be sure this evening gets on the archive there is more to reactions yeah, it did! but I wnated to generalize tonight Thanks gary, that was a great class tonight I hoped it helpe helped Thanks and good night. good nite all, c u tomorrow. User [Holland] left forum on Wed Jan 23 22:48:26 EST 2002 are there questions on anyhting tonight? please ask As the song says, "I can see clearly now" if u arent clear on anything :) stevie wonder ray>? thx gary, nite all You explained it very well, I have no questions. tomorrow will will talk on spreads and misc I ddint do that well Thanks very much Gary--was an excellent class---take care everybody and goodnight thanx zack thanks, Gary. night all okay I will see u all tomorrow night if no more questions User [Zack] left forum on Wed Jan 23 22:49:32 EST 2002 User [maurice] left forum on Wed Jan 23 22:49:34 EST 2002 thank gary nite all good night good night all have a safe evening :) User [Jairo] left forum on Wed Jan 23 22:49:40 EST 2002 i hoped it helped Good night Gary User [Kenny] left forum on Wed Jan 23 22:49:45 EST 2002 User [gary fullett] left forum on Wed Jan 23 22:49:47 EST 2002