User [gary fullett /24.240.192.12] joined forum on Thu Aug 16 21:15:42 EDT 2001 it is a lot of hard work and patience Hey Gary Hi Gary! good evening everyone Gary has helped me a great deal how is everyone tonight hi Gary richer Congratulations on a great S&P retest call--right on the dot :):) Gary is da man :) whlucky guess on support lucky not whluky LOL was a perfect retest User [scott] left forum on Thu Aug 16 21:17:10 EDT 2001 Good reaction also who's going to wear the pointy cap tonight? ok I will zack designates it User [scott /209.208.58.180] joined forum on Thu Aug 16 21:17:49 EDT 2001 so whom ever he thinks worthy wears it You made the money George--you can wear the cap :):) welcome scott since I am new it will likely be me Gary I came out good on the bp today U did? No frank hi gary zack wears it mostly and he has the most exp welcome frank yes already got my statement please ask any and all questions thanks No frank--newbies here are very welcome--don't wear the pointy cap untill they deserve it :):) scott is this your first time as well? and we all deserve it at times :) third time this week I will begin in a few minutes i need a life lol I want to go over wyckoff principles tonight me too scott 3 times a week for 5 yrs :)LOL if you all dont mind k but if u came back scott maybe you like this User [GaryD /64.192.229.17] joined forum on Thu Aug 16 21:20:33 EDT 2001 hey gary d Gary, I read the archive from last night and have a ? Hey GaryD I want to talk on horizonatl support and why it is significant youre a real humainitarin gary Hi everyone and price action and volume more hi naw I love this stuff so I am devoted hi gary did u see the low in the s and P today? Ask away eddie I f price movement up is small and volume is relatively high it means the CM is probably selling? whew!! generally Yes But it depends on the trend amnd where the market is at but generally yes I call it stuffing action brb frank--hit enter every once in a while to avoid being disconnected from the chat :) I thinks that's the first time I heard you say that so I was just making sure Gary what does IMHO mean? . "In my humble opinion" du du thanks thanks ,appreiated Can an opinion be humble? I think George get the cap for talking crap (dudu):) ok I'm in the corner George has to buy the pizza Im back sorry I make a good pizza eddie I have alot to teach and some thing I havent mentioned yet stuffing is my term along with amos Not a wyckoff term but it is the action that is imporyant not the particular name I want to talk on the cm first do you all know what the cm is I know I said this many times but do u really Understand what it is? y y it is important composite man, commercial trader that you know I think so I know on some forums there is alot of misconception and I want to clear it up for you not them :) k can someone tell me what the cm is k THose w/ very deep pockets and very good information. They manipulate and effectively control the markets my idea too did I use the term manipulate? Nope--never it is a strong word not in a pejoritive sense, but in the sense of buying and selling to contrl price action if u mean the word manipulate as influence then yes okay good y manipulate seems like it is a word that is illgal activity influence via buying and selling the cm influecnces ,markets by their buying and selling based on thier knowlegde Wait a minute--have to get my dictionary and find out what pejoritive means :):) gary then u r right :)LOL yeah, didn't mean it that way, but certainly to serve their interests and no one elses it makes sense when a cm buys 1000 soybeans that he would influence the market but not realy manipilate it from the sense he is doing somehting wrong I had a client ask me today about beans he said how can beans open 2 lower when the opeing call is 2-5 higher/ how can that happen? anyone? a lot of sell orders at the open Pre opening "bluff" in the pit :) prior to open negotians? by the cm zack and eddie are correct I went over this several weeks ago before the markets open anyone can bid or offer buy or sell and size contracts at any price they are not held when the pit opens they cant do this u have to be "on the market" meaning highest bid lowest offer acceptancew do u all understand this? y y y y important to how markets function Is it good to know pre-opening calls and watch the market reaction -- like the news? so that's why the opening range is important it is important in 1 sense when a market is called 5 higher in beans and opens lower what does this say to you no supply or if the market is called 10 higher market is unlikely to take off, at least right away and opens up 20 higher? cm bluffiing like Zack said? if a market opens lower than called this is bearish Like beans today if a market opens higher than called I got out at the right time looks like than bullish shh a secret gott it oposite why do I say that? nope frank because if the cm wants to open the market 5 higher Kelly listening? User [Joe K /172.129.153.195] joined forum on Thu Aug 16 21:38:26 EDT 2001 and is willing to pay 10 higher this means strenghth said no supply should have saidno demand beaish Hey Joe KKK Hey Joe naw watching big brother Move over Zack........ Hey guys ! hi hi sometimes the cm wants to mark up prices gives an opening call not as high to induce buying so the cm in beans today open the market lower today after a higher call he was willing to sell the market lower this was weakness because tto sell lower u must sell lower bids and he did this today understand the impornatance of opening calls relative to where they actually open ? yes thanks Why would he want it lower? does everyone understand What makes the cm decide to lower price at a certain time? y because he is bearish can the cm see the bids and asked andamounts so can better judge which way the market is going evenbefore the trades occur and cant get the market higher to sell yes frank very good if a cm wants to sell he must gets bids to sell he is not looking for a 1 lot to sell to he needs size to sell if there are no higher bids forces him to sell lower rember what i said as the opening range as a pivot point y beans opened on the highs today even lower and the market broke that is why it is a pivot so we should wait to see if he takes it to support,and if it holds, then that's a good buy time? because the cm on the opening makes a stand yes u should buy support if the trend is up espceailly when a trade occurs at the bid does that then indicate a bearish trend and if at asked price a a bullish treand looks like we came close to support today in beans. So this sets up a buy here? 494 was a gap area support in beans One trade does not make a "trend" or in my mind an indication of a trend frank what do u mean a trade occurs at the bid? agree zack support is an area Not 1 price is that a shakeout? Opening lower like that? It's shake and bake, and I helped ! lol sometimes it can be gerry thks if the market opens under support and then goes above support then it could be a shakepout shakeout I see at least in watching stock trsansactions moment by moment they are quoted as at bid or ask at times some times oe predominating ove rhte other , I wAS gary, what do you term opening time-frame cant look at it that closely ok frank but I understand what u mean the first 15 minutes generally scott thx watch the first half hour in amrkets The opening time frame can vary a little scott--depending on the liquidity of the market you are looking at and the first hour is important as well indexs for trend of the day with stocks the opening price range is not as relavant as they are in commodities thx for clarifying S&P opening range important? not as much so No the first hour range is important in the s and p not the opening generally In general because Commodities are geared more towards near term and shorter trade duration than stocks thanks, Gary that is true Joe also stock have so many factors corn is corn but the s and p 500 index has 500 differnt influences and differnt sectors theres corn, and now GMO corn too ! lol I want to say somehting about wyckoff that I never gmo? lol said before ever so were really talking a traders trading vehicle yes scott wyckoff had a chart that indicated strenghth and weakness onn stocks he he rated them and he rated the stocks within a group he always bought strenghth and sold weakness within that industry group if gm and form are 2 car stocks and he was bulllish car stocks and ford was more bullish tech wise he would buy ford and Not buy gm Also many stock traders can see strength and weakness by looking at the Sector, not just the individual stock if beans are stonger than corn BUY beans dont buy corn do u understand this? y many novice traders y y buy weakness and sell strenghth WRONG WRONG WRONG it may work out sometimes but in the long run it will not is it like news U may buy bullish news and amke money in the long run it will not be profitable i remember news lol it is how the market reacts to news not the news itself Understand this Important y :-) y good it is not that a market that goes to support But how it reacts to support that is important User [Wombat /144.138.79.59] joined forum on Thu Aug 16 22:01:34 EDT 2001 and vice versa G'day Wombat since corn is corn does this mean that commodities therefore are more Wyckoff compliant /consistent technically than stocks hi all hi Wombat whew great q actually wyckoff was in stocks and bonds Hey Wombat I see this in the indexes - everything is weak, but the Nazdogs are the relative leader in weakness. They travel farther and the patterns set up beeter than the others hi W I wouldnt say that frank wyckoff didnt trade commodites but his principles are good for both so I am not sure I know the answer but I understand what u r saying so u dont buy nasdaq and buy the stronger s and P instead weel, short it okay frank good q I may have to think on that :) so why does wycoff appreal more to commodity traders if this is a correct assumpton my part wyckoff appeals to both I thinkbecause commodties tend to move faster they do wyckoff proiciples go faster sometimes excpt for expensive stocks which would be more like a commodity Many stocks that are on the S&P NASDAQ haven't been aroun long enough to establish long term Wyckoff waves that is true eddie any other questions? did I answer the previous questions? can springs be time released ? expensive stock are more like commodities? to a degree they move more they have wider swings they may move the smae percentage same but a 200 stock that drops 20 bucks is like a 100 dollar stock moving down 10 seems like there are many more unseen forces affecting stocks (news,mergers,suites,earnings,deaths,deals) that fect the movements of the PURE waves making their movemnet less perdictable than commodities a 10 percent move BUT the money is moire U have a great point frank But commodites ahve thier own weather but the accumulation and distribution, with vol is usually apparent in stocks Frank--many compexities come into play in commodities also--including world conditions with several different influences all the time--nothing is easy :):) I wouldnt say one os more harder tha another but I will say that if u look at support and ressiatnce the same way so support in rice is the same support at IBM a sc in lumber is similar to a sc in microsoft but with stocks u can have a down market and a good stock a sideways market and a bad stock so with stocks u have to watch the general treand then the trend within an idustry and the sector trend then the particular tock stock so that may be tricker with commodities corn is corn it get affected by other grains but not like stocks do generally so u do have a good point there frank For stocks, I read that Wyckoff ould construct his own industry groups of 5 or 10 stocks (in that industry). Can we use the the sector indicies, like SOX for this? Yep you wouldn't be trying to conert us now gary? Good, thanks convert lol convert u? to? stocks lol I think in general commodities appeal to traders because of the leverage involvedif Wyckoff can help the speculater become a good trader there is more bang for the buck in commodities than in stocks Does the cm already know where he wants support/resistance to be or does he just tkes price to a level and see how the reaction is? the second half of your statement is right eddie he lets the amrket detrmine strenghth and he buys or sells at areas he deems value I traded stocks using wyckoff 22 yrs ago he can do that because of his staying power? and I foind them to move to slow for me that was before nasdaq sticks yes eddie -> cinn homered 4-3 cards crying and he knows that he will con duct a campaign and evenatully be rewarded -> fuck stock talk lol so he may scale down buy 480 beans 470 beans 450 beans Knowing beans will go to 520 what does he care if he has a drawdown hmmmm, the power of deep pockets understand eddie y isnt that thebasis of the US lol more knowledge more money more power I am serious hillary isnt that true? I have her staements scott y shhhhhhh lol 1K=100K yep Gary,would you consider using cotton next tuesday as one of your teaching charts? I have em yes I am goerge I wanted to see the retest thank you I am serious about knowledge power and money doesnt that run this country/ lumber might be shaping up for a dive y y do u agree with that statement or not? y yup generally, yes I dont understand why on some forum ( execept for ignorance) enumerate on that gd why poeple dont understand that it is such a simple concept denial same applies in life as in the jungle lion is king, can be killed, but is the dominant force in the circle of power gd plays the lotto very true in all societies I agree ever hear of the golden rule? zack LOL:) because us westerners are always looking for external stimulation and happiness golden ratio wyckoff remebered Yep--them's what has the Gold make the rules :) studied for many yrs how trades trade people with kpm do unto others of their ilk and how the public reacts and wrote a theses he didnt make it up he was just observant why does a market react bullish on bullish news "sometimes" and react negatively on bullish news sometimes how can a trader tell which bullish news willl be bullish cant kpm people setting us up for the slaughter only by the market reaction to the news Joe is right unless its something like a devestating nature event so how can u trade news because the cm knows things we don't and gary is right so we wait for the CM to tell us by price action and volujme case in point On monday crop condtions came in bullish a reduction in yield right/ ? yup, market sold it y y but seveal weeks ago it was bullish news and we rallied on the same news why? also you here factored in and not, how do you know what is what isnt ? you dont because u cant trade news U cant beat the cm ride thier coatails by watching price action and volume if u watch the news U dont watch the markets U cant know all the news that infliuences a market so dont watch it the cm will tell u the direction they want by thier actions let them do th work we take scaps scraps I am sorry I am taking a long time on this But this is backbone stuff ok Gary, would you say it appears in Beans, that their is attempt to get the Funds short here recently ? It's good scraps off the backbone lol Scraps--I like that--Yep Gary--a milion here a million there--pretty soon it adds up to big money yes sir baby-back ribs lol I think lol the beans are getting traders frustrated within a trading range 540-480 their job ( cm) is not to be followed do u know those trucks that say "dont follow" y lol the cm started that!!! LOL:) as joe says they like to wear shades Zack told me it was ok......thanks Zack ! Trucks cause Fender benders why doesnt the cm tell u his postions They can't be followed because it would then be one-sided so we can all support his postions? In Mumbai they say Please to honk horn :) more like fatalities gary mentioned the answer if they annouced they were long and they know who would sell? yeah, it makes sense there would be no market, then, really Lastnight you remember Beans rallied to 513 area late in day ? I almost wanted to buy that rally, but Gary strapped me in, kinda funny we came back down it's like a chess game, he who can think 13 moves ahead wins 520 is key in nov beans bot 513 2 times outside days up, were sold into next day of course Oh here I go again--first I have to look at a dictionary--now I have to look at an Atlas to see where the heck Mumbai is--thanks a lot eddie :):) that is why they have campaigns Their are big time games in beans right now Bombay Chop em all up make em all hurt and bleed . punish them why do u think most lose in commodties Bulls or Bears dont matter because they dont follow larg influces that make money if u want to make money u must think how that money is made buying at improper places and not containing losses to be small I would rather emulate bill gate sin computers than a person who hasnt had any sucess ??? Scott, imitate a winner. Not a loser thx k anyone rember Micheal jordan? Mumbai the goddess of the fishermen, cm of the fish trade known for scaled trades lol floridian, not too good on the uptake y he alwasy dressed nicely tennis shoes right? dressed for sucess Cool eddie :):) it is important that u understand his role i mentioned about horizonatl support wyckoff didnt use slpoing trend lines he used horizonatl lines does anyone know why? truer picture sloping lines are indication of supply/ demand? Diagnals more indicative too trends it standardizes the rise and slop 0x0 It's easy to see the trends, don't really need them opposite eddie horizonatla horizontal lines horizontals indicate levels of critcal support and resistance while sloping indicate more theoretical limits sideways for cause, slope for trend tell u where suport demadn should come in ressiatnce or supply comes in frank is correct where have u been for 5 yrd frank :) studying franks been here 5 years? :) can'tseem to puit it to practice well though maybe here u can :) first time here a suport line horizontal line wiill show u where demadn or buying should vome in come Make sure to come back frank--you're always welcome here :) if u have this line and the market doesnt react from this line what does this tell u weakness weak Supply is heavier in market cm holding it says the market may not be as strong as it should be at that support like in sugar at the end of July why would the market not react from support? lack of participants lack of demand no demand do u mean small spec scott? Not enough Demand, or hevier supply, or CM containing, or controling range i'll go with that cm knows future negative news? has a good idea I woulkd say lack of small spec found it with an internet search it is because the cm decides that he doesnt wnat to defend that area of support like being in the army u give up an area and retreat to a better ground why would the cm want price to drop so he can buymore or because he is short? could be both frank he may want to acculate unless you served with Patton accumualte at lower levels so he lets support go lower if a cm wants to defned a support Paton accumulated metals :) how do u see this on a chart? CM cant rally a market alone increased volume? Often has to wait and have the opertune time to get help we see this by price action and volume tha is what i mean good price action along with volume by the reaction RIGHT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! George User [Zack /65.88.104.174] joined forum on Thu Aug 16 22:55:00 EDT 2001 u dont wear the poiny hat User [Gerry2 /165.247.7.208] joined forum on Thu Aug 16 22:55:13 EDT 2001 great zack dont give the pointy hat to georgew for a week do u see what george wrote that is the answer!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1 No got disconnected--was it baaaaddd i'll be wearing the pointy hat for the next couple months If we see reaction is positive from a support area, we can assume the CM is DEFENDING that area for Accumulation, or in order to markup prices in the near future no way scott very nicely said JoeK stocks I'm here Joe is right trying to start a member here who goes by many aliases i won't incriminate him tonight I know this is all basic stuff but this very very important wyckoff knowledge that U must know good for me though so with horizontal suports and ressiatnce U can tell where demand or supply comes in am i being call into the principles office Just as if its longer term support he is defending that longer term marku should take more time to be in proportion to the time it takes cause to surmount a rally in the near term, just on a smaller scale and that is what wyckoff wanted to do Difference in Cause is proportionate to differences in time frames It certainly builds confidence when you pull off a successful trade based on wyckoff correct joe I am glad So accumulation or markup you have to weigh up on ALL time frames that it seems like thi s is beginning to sink in so any questions on anyhting tonight n on horizonatl ranges n yes just not enough time:( and why they are important? Same holds true for distribution, and also realize, markets only spend about a THIRD of their time Trending as a general rule where do you suggest following commodities on the net corect joe Hey Joe, good comments. Thanks. gotta go folks really enjoyed this,as always thanks Gary you're a great help to all of us Thankyou u r welcome goerge Why would vol increase on what appears to be a SC on the daily, but then begin a range with small price movement? bye Geo Like in Cotton on AUG 10 User [George] left forum on Thu Aug 16 23:04:17 EDT 2001 Because Cause in near term is not ready like it is longer term right joe a sc has wideprice action then the range has smaller ranges ok I just saw the spike in vol and thought it was interesting was roll over too eddie ok I jump alot of times , in Daily, SC looks good, but longer term its like a flea on a dog, in contrast to the big picture I don't think there was a true SC in Cotton--just rollover volume I think we covered good stuff tonight Very good stuff, thanks Gary thx for the lesson on tuesday charts Many traders focus alot, often too much on just the near term wendnesday wyckoff principles thursday small talk I know I do at times sorry Me too, Joe lol Thanks Gary, G'nite all! User [Gerry2] left forum on Thu Aug 16 23:07:23 EDT 2001 Thanks Gary--take care everyone and goodnight very informing, thanks Gary goodnight everyone Could you include a P&F chart next week? User [Zack] left forum on Thu Aug 16 23:07:46 EDT 2001 Goodnight all another good one Gary ! well I will leave it here for the week abd see u all on tuesday goodnite yes gary User [frank] left forum on Thu Aug 16 23:08:06 EDT 2001 User [Joe K] left forum on Thu Aug 16 23:08:10 EDT 2001 good night User [gary fullett] left forum on Thu Aug 16 23:08:30 EDT 2001