User [gary fullett /171.208.27.87] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:02:26 EDT 2000 good evening hi gary yes hi gary are we supposed to have certain charts not tonight ok just the wyckoff wave I have that can't get the book about wyckoff written by weis and two others User [mrj /206.251.171.223] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:04:35 EDT 2000 hi mrj Hi gary sherri jack brb hello User [Dene /207.50.1.174] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:04:59 EDT 2000 Gary hope you don't mind me dropping in Hi everyone hi dene good evening everyon hi dene User [Jeradatar /209.82.119.108] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:05:46 EDT 2000 I would like to conduct this class for 1 hour tonight and continue on Wednesday evening for the next month ok ok User [Guest /204.119.225.161] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:06:15 EDT 2000 so there will be about 8 classes so wyckoff classes will be on Monday and wednesday nights at 7 pm central time in this room I will go over the principles of richard D Wyckoff a trader in the early 1900's If you have nay questions at any time please feel feel to ask this is an open forum k and we will be conducting this class from the beginning there are also archives on the site from previous classes as well as these new classes I also have classes on Monday thru Thursday nights in this room they go over the same principles but they are alittle more in detail but again everyone is welcome There is No charge for these classes there is No obligation for these clases It is all free ;-) thanks I will assume that no one has no trading experiences so we can all be on the same level. User [Peggy /206.173.174.138] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:10:10 EDT 2000 again please use the archives to look at other wyckoff hi peggy material Mr J in this chat on occassion u must it the return key so u wont be booted out of the room Looking for my daughter in here okay? Before I begin are htere any questions? okay lets begin My name is Gary Fullett where do I find the weis book I have been trading for the past 19 yrs it is on the website sherri i went to amazon I am aformer floor memebr of the chicago Mercantile exchange i the S and P 500 pit I was on the floor for the 87 crash my website sherri I have worked with many prominet traders that you may have read about I am presently a branch manager of a brokerage firm in chicago User [mike /171.223.220.216] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:13:01 EDT 2000 actually 32 miles south west of chicago I believ ein the principles of one of the first tchnical trader his name was richrad d wyckoff many of the vendors you see today Larry willian Ken Roberts ect.. have taken his material in one form of another His Principles are based on volume and price action I repeat .. It is based on Volume and price action He NEVER follows news wyckoff students watch the markets action to determine a trade As always there is ALWAYS a RISK in trading commodities but with wyckoff we try to minmize the risk There is No Holy Grail but with wyckoff you can understand markets behavior so NEVER watch the News User [Peggy /206.173.161.77] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:16:47 EDT 2000 wb peggy try it again you can determine markets direction by using the tecnical approach according to yckoff principle any questions so far? n does this makes sense? yes I will go very slow so everyone can understand please dont be bored y it will all come together Mike please ask ok mike question? not yet lol okay.... There are 2 principles that you must understand 1) effort vs result 2) cause and effect.. lets take effort vs result first it states: that a market result will be affected by its effort so if a market is going up or down its result is deterined by the effort so if beans have a volume of 20 thousand contracts and it goes up 5 cents the next day the market goes up 2 censt cents on 20 thouusand contracts so on one day we see that the market moved up 5 cents then next day it moved up 2 cents but the volume was the same one would have expected the same result with the same volume.... so you understand this? does this make sense? y questions? y y so the result was differnt but the effort ( volume) was the same) but the volume might have different % of sellers and buyers wouldnt it User [Name already in use /209.190.43.142] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:26:15 EDT 2000 I will explain this Jack in a few miutes good question User [Jeradatar /209.82.119.108] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:26:25 EDT 2000 ok I promise I will answer all questions... so we see the first principle User [Name already in use] left forum at Mon Apr 03 19:27:10 EDT 2000 I will refer to this principles many times User [Fritz /209.190.43.142] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:27:46 EDT 2000 cause vs effect markets need fuel to mobve up or down they dont just go up or down will nilly they need time to prepare for a pending move so the need a cause by cause I mean a trading range a time to prepare the longer that a market prepares for a move the longer that that move will be cause vs effect What comprises the preparation? the ciuase ( trading range) will lead to an effect wither a rally or a break good question it is the trading range... I will tell you now who prepares for the pending move This is a VERY Important what I am about to say it is very important that you FULLY understand this okay....? y ok y ok ok Wyckoff describe the people who run campiagns or make the preparation for a move as Composiye Man composite Composite Man CM for short who is the CM is it one man>? just who are they? No it is an aggregate User [Jimbo /63.10.172.194] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:32:31 EDT 2000 of many of the great minds together hi jimbo hey Jimbo Like Cargil, George Soros Merilyy Lynch Did class start early? Jogn Tudor Jones beginner's class begginers class till 8pm Jimbo beginner class j ok thx so it is the combination of all the great minds and the great traders in the world User [chris /63.15.181.148] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 19:33:45 EDT 2000 :the poeple in the know" the insiders.... tey are working together/ ? it is Not one person but an agrreagate of people who :know the news before it happens yes Mike to a degree they are Does everyone undersatnds what I said so far about the Composite amn any questions y y ok you bet y please stop me if it doesnt make sense or you donrt understand It is an intelligent consensus........... example to you of a CM is OPEC in grains we call them commercials? everyone knows who OPEC is? y y CM can be commercials but not always.. y y k People, hit the enter button every 8 minutes or so or you will get kicked off the chat room. but certainly the larger commercials are thnk you peggy Before I forget wondered why I was booted on my website is the wyckoff wave you will all need this for wednesday class k k if you cant retreive it write to support@ltg-trading.com see you'll at 8:00 so lets reviwe for a minute User [mrj] left forum at Mon Apr 03 19:38:37 EDT 2000 k mrj we have 2 principles we have Richard D Wyckoff a trader that deals with only price action and volume NO NEWS never? NEVER the Cm knows the news by watching market action or the 'tape: before me by the time u hear the news too late generally ok i have heard that true most vendors today use wyckoff stuff in one way or another has anyone heard of volume? anyone use volume in analysis>? y y y y y a little y well when I explain volume it will probably be different than the way that you have used it in the past may I ask a question? y y ok y how many people here trade either paper trade or real? paper real real both just started to study r the reason I ask paper soon to be real is because I want to help teach you how to trade correctly and that everthing that you read in the beginning is heklpful for knowledge but I have found that is you follow wyckoff you not have to follow anything else to be a knowledgable trader. please dont mix methods if you think wyckoff is a good tool for u to use than use it to me it is the way to look at markets There are many systes out there all work and all fail but the Key to me is to understand what the mearket is telling me and I do this by price action and volume Price action and volume Price action and volume I meant to say this 3 times when we go over the wyckoff wave I will show you the way a mrkets behavior is this will be on wednesday most people lose money trading commodities do you know why this is? why? several reasons one they dont have knowledge and when they get knowledge they dont have money left lol they risk more than they should almost any of u that have traded I would imagine that if you have lost money in an account y it was due to only sevaeral trades that the bulk of your money was lost yep that would be me, all right I would say that 80 percent of money lost in an account happened on only 20 percent of the trades yep does that make sense? yes y y painfully Human nature never wants to be wrong s to admit to a losing trade is admitting that you are wrong but the first loss is the best loss so when you make a trde trade place a stop and an objective and the risk to reward should be at least 3 to 1 that doesn t mean that u will achieve a 3 to 1 explain reward but going into the trade that is what the risk to reward should be have a plan trade your plan and get out if you are wrong.. as a trader one should know immediatly if they are right or wrong a trade.. if you buy support and the market continues to go down you are probably wrong GET out of the Market Dont Hope that you are right or the market "will come back" by using wyckoff you will see with price action and volume what the intentions of the CM are this will generally keep you out of majotr damage yet there is ALWAYS RISK questions? no n by the way anyone cam email me questions or call me toll free if they would like individual help thank you the Composite mans role: is to prepare for a pending move he does this within a trading range he doesnt like company so as he prepares trades get nickeled and dime they get chopped up.. i HAVE A GREAT EXAMPLE FOR U sorry about the caps the NASDAQ has anyone watched it recently? y Monday thru Friday last week big loss y it was lower right ? y y so everyone was bearish on Friday as the market was going for another big loss the CM saw this so what did he do? he conducted a BIG rAlly on friday to get the shorts out and what happened today after the people got out of their shorts last friday biggest loss big lose big day down today the rally was conducted by the CM to get the shorts out he doesnt like comapny it is his job to confuse fellow traders thill the end and I will exaplin this more later on how he does it I didnt get too much into class tonight as I wanted to give you backround of me and wyckoff and the basics good class so far so good I will be going more into this on wednesday please download the wyckoff wave we will be going into how a markets acts on wednesday with this wave as I mentioned earlier for people that have been in this class for a few months now we have a class at 8pm in 2 minutes eveyone is welcome to stay it is a tad more advanced User [Jimbo /63.10.172.194] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:00:14 EDT 2000 but one day we will all be on the same level hopefully great traders I will stop the beginners class now but before I do thx gary are htere any questions? on wyckoff trading or in general? thanks no, thanks gary it gets better but I need backround first User [Guest] left forum at Mon Apr 03 20:01:14 EDT 2000 User [Gordy /63.88.62.88] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:01:18 EDT 2000 so we all have solid footing... User [mrj /206.251.171.223] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:01:33 EDT 2000 gary...do I order the book from you? This concludes the beginners class it will be oin the archive if anyone would like to review User [lmarsh /12.14.197.187] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:01:56 EDT 2000 in the next class we talk markets and a whole gambit of wyckoff hey marsh hi m and m please stay.. I think it will be helpful.... :0 god evening all User [SteveF /209.214.194.96] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:02:27 EDT 2000 oHi steve User [Jeff /24.17.169.192] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:02:36 EDT 2000 User [fibo /204.119.225.161] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:02:40 EDT 2000 I will take a break for 2 minutes: User [mike] left forum at Mon Apr 03 20:02:41 EDT 2000 and a prayerful evening to you too marsh hiyall hi fibo jeff Howdy Folks and I will be back hi fibo thank you for your time... hello everyone Hello All oops misspelled again(not my strong point) good to see you too sheri User [jack] left forum at Mon Apr 03 20:03:20 EDT 2000 hi everyone brb ;-) marsh User [sal /206.175.231.61] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:03:56 EDT 2000 hi sal hi my gal sal hi Good post you put up SteveF, it seems so true! hi sal, great post steve and mrj Good evening everyone User [Guest /209.82.119.108] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:04:36 EDT 2000 I hope yu all had a great weekend one eye on screen, one on game score? Go Gators go MICHIGAN User [Jeradatar] left forum at Mon Apr 03 20:05:01 EDT 2000 hey gordy Go Purdue: User [Tom /147.72.69.187] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:05:06 EDT 2000 :) Hi All User [Guest] left forum at Mon Apr 03 20:05:13 EDT 2000 go team Purdue beat Thanks first thank you for all the postings I think it is great Florida sure looks good boooooo! run & gun First ever time in the big one Amos will be conducting the class about accumaultion User [Tom] left forum at Mon Apr 03 20:06:42 EDT 2000 but I will start he must know my husband....never throws anything away User [Tom /147.72.69.187] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:06:56 EDT 2000 before I begin any questions? about wyckoff or in general :) @sherri tmorrow night we will be talking about grains and some other interesting markets I will be sending a chart tomorrow User [eric /206.98.11.182] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:07:45 EDT 2000 User [amos /62.0.146.151] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:07:51 EDT 2000 hi e hi eric but a chart that looks wonderful to me is the assuie dollar hi amos hi amos, fibo, eric eric, amos appears to be alot of accumaltion I will send the daily tomorrow hi amos hi hi, Amos good evening to all User [jack /63.29.105.28] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:08:32 EDT 2000 check out monthly on aussie dollar brb good class tonight, Gary I try peggy,,, I will be sending this tomorrow wow, i even noticed that this weekend so I dont want to discuss it yet but it is very interesting... questions? okay lets begin I want to talk about horizonatl support and resisatnce User [davep /24.147.119.114] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:11:04 EDT 2000 hi dave this to me is very unique hi and if you look at it from the stand point of support being the floor and the resistance being the ceiling hui mrj, fibo . . . and in between the trading range that is contained in it for now on I will be drawing more clearly and more defined horizonatl support and resistance lines User [Guest /209.190.43.7] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:13:15 EDT 2000 as I have mentioned many times one never know how many times a market will test support or resiatnce User [Guest] left forum at Mon Apr 03 20:13:39 EDT 2000 this is why it is very importat that at the bottom of the range and the top of the range you watch the volume and price action User [fritz /209.190.43.7] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:14:06 EDT 2000 if you see at the top of a range that the price action is getting smaller and the volume is large this probably means that a jump over the creek will occur but it is important to watch the action at those 2 levels I watch the spreads and option pricing to see w aht the Cm wants to do can we track the CM through spread as well as futures? sometimes spreads will give u a great clue as to a break out like meal -oil spreads in the bean cmpllex yes peggy how do you track option pricing? just nearby atm? check volume on them too? yes.. let say beans are up 2 cents but a call option is up nicely as well can you explain a scenario at the top of a trading range and option spreads this means heavy buying of calls so if you an increase numbers of calls near or at the money at the top of the range this could mean a jump over the creek or if the futures are oing up and the calls are not moving up this could mean that the rally will fial you canactauly chart option prices too today for example the 240 corn call was up only about 1 1 /2 cents when the corn was up 4 censts this to me meant that corn would break today. the point being what should it have moved 2 cents? is that if you watch spreads options and price actio and volume at the top of a horizonatl range you can sometimes tell better if you will get a jump over the creek or a break thru the ice,, yes sal or more m does this make sense? any questions? y y,n uh huh y makes sense y why price range is smaller at the top of the range for jOC? I know ther eis laot to watch and track but y it is important in order to get an edge. questions? what are the various scenarios of volume, price, options-- to determine up or down watch the volume and price action especailly at the top of a trading range as well as the bottom of the range fritz that is a good question but would require a very long answer thank you understood nd I will be going over the volume price action in beginers class over the next few weeks I will expalin this to you okay? ok y I wont forget about ya thanks if there are no other questiosn I will defer to amos to talk about accumaltion and the rest of the wave amos if you please... first, thank for all the contributions on the post for the new people here amos has been trading for over 22 years and is a CTA Did every one read the excellent manipulation stuff? and is a greta believe rof wyckoff y y y y yes, it was great y some any comment on the concept of manipulation? -> are you able to follow this? please click on private in the right corner to respond -> welcome to class viscous wyckoff was right he usually is sherri where can I read the manipulation stuff? necessary for economic survival well, the whole point is that the WYckoff interpretation of makret action is nothing more we accept manipulation as fact and work within those bounderies. than the deciphering of ONE TYPE OF MANIPULATION. well said steve that is basically all there is to it. The manipulation goes on all the time, on all time frames. What Wyckoff did is isolate one situation where the manipulative process becomes a little more clear ( I call it the footstpes of the CM are clearer) and he advised to trade this particular phenomenon. You know that there are at least 300 systems that try to capture a move in the market that has a higher than 50% probability. Bollinger bands, Keltner, Taylor, Welles Wilder various oscillators etc. everyone swears by their method. Wyckoff simply understood that if you can identify the process of manipulation in a more clearer fasion you have a small chance. I happened to watch today Lilnda Bradford Raschke open chat room Apparently once a month she and the Moore research center have an open house policy. There were all the time between 150 and 198 "listners" She t"talks " all day. (She is a wonderful typist!!!) then at the end she talks for another 1 1/2 hours. is she worth listening to Amos? You know what? she found that a salad of Wyckoff, Taylor, a few momentum indicators and a few inventions of her own (every painter/artist wants to immortalize their style) and beyond all-- she understands manipulation. I cannot answer this Peggy. I have to digest. I coppied most of the stuff and I need to read it a few times to separate the chaff from the Wheat. But she is basically a WYckoff person. Only the she looks at the 1 and 5 minutes all day and trades large lots of s and ps What we are trying to do here--is rather simple. We talk about , basically, the daily time fram of manipulation. So if we go back to the first 8 starts on the Manipulation chart (the 4 phases of the market) we agreed that the first star is the Preliminary support; the second was the the rally and the resistance of the PS. We said that this rally point is significant Where do we read about manipulation?? Why? because it represents the potntial (tom go to SteveF post on ltg) Check "posy" on this site ok post point of the coming range that will delineate the boundaries of the daily accumulation process. Star # 3 is the selling climax. I mentioned last time that it is a very rough schmatic How do you analyse that point? the form of the relationship between the PS and the SC can large volume & large price range, fritz User [jack] left forum at Mon Apr 03 20:38:06 EDT 2000 take many forms. The spread in prices between them can be very wide or it can be small No two markets are the same. It depends to a large extent--WHAT TERNSPIRED before.A Is it a market that had been marked down for months, years, weeks? is the markdown sharp or shallow? User [Randy /209.130.164.127] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:39:12 EDT 2000 Each market situation will call for a slightly different methodology by the CM. The important point is that once stars 1-2-3 are identified (kindly do not mix these with Ken Roberts 1-2-3 thingy) you have a pretty good idea of where the CM stands. Now come stars 4-8 which comprise the process of accumulation. Lets us repeat what accumulation means: User [Jimbo /63.10.172.194] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:41:02 EDT 2000 It is the buying by smart money for the purpose of rasing prices. I hate the concept of buying low and selling high. Because accumulation that happens at higher levels in a corrective phase of a markup is buying high in order to go higher. You never know what is low and what is high. Beans at 550 are high or low? l We tend to always compare prices to recent levels. ?? This is deadly in the market fritz ask a little more specifcially? nothing, sorry that is ok it is deadly because when you say something is high or low--you put yourself in the shoes of the CM. WE are not. It is true that once you have enough data points for a certain commodity then you have a much better chance of attributing the adjective "high" or "low " to price. But when you want to buy or sell-- you want to buy THE LOW and sell THE high. On the way to this coveted secret--there are many lows and highs. So I prefer not to use the term low and high. But if you have support and resistance--you are saying that these are levels that have a good chance that the CM will also buy and sell around them. I will repeat-- support and resistance are levels where the CM may buy and sell too. If he does not--the market will not stop there. User [gary fullett /171.208.27.87] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 20:46:46 EDT 2000 You and I do not fix support and resistance. It is the more knowledgeable forces of the market that do. We are trying to identify their intentions. It so happens that stars 1 and 3 are very likely points where the CM will continue to buy during the process of accumulation. I will say more than that: These stars are the secret language by which the CM is communicatin with his friends. They say that in the beginning of the last century--the big guys had secret signlas they used to put in a scripted format in certain new papers in New York . If you read a small announcemt in the calssified ads, for example--that said: A 5 year old child is looking for his lost puppy, for example--you knew the market is going up that day. I have no way to prove this. : ) But certain market behavior is definitely a signal to informed forces to act. There are many old traders that follow old rules of projecting highs and lows for the next day, week, month. very interesting These methods are still used by very intelligent system develpers (such as Rodinonde) The point here is that stars 1 and 3 are more important poinst of support that others. By using these points as reference--you eliminate a lot of the noise that exists in the market if you draw horizontal lines at these two stars--you will notice that they are repsected more than other levels of support. A spring of the PS and and upthrust of the PLS are one of the best trading signals I know. The trouble is that these are ttwo points. We want to trade every day and we are looking for more points of support and resistance to enter the market. I have no problem with this. ONLY that these two points have a much higher predictive power. thats all. Any quesitons so far? n no, please continue Please, I am not really asking you a question, I just give you a chance to refresh your screen I will say it: lol for anyone new the stars amos refers to are from a small chart on SMI website. Steve, I think this may be a tad over the beginners levels since I didnt give bakround So now we get to star 5. It is a test of the SC which confirms it as being a selling climax but this chart can be found there (this allusion to small reminds me certain perspective visual aberations men have about certain I will be expalining this to the beginner in class in the weeks to come organs when they look at them from a certain distance, but thatis another story) lol lol It is NOT a small chart, by any means. now we get to star 6. this is a cheater. why? because this (small) chart is completely oblivious to time! If star number 6 occurs fairly close in time to star 3--then it is an easy trade. If it is very far--sothat you actually have to look at the weeklychart in order to identify it--we have a problem. Our analysis of the wheat chart on teh weekly should have explained this point. You can see whatever you want on the daily-0-but if the accumulation is long term--then the IMPOERTANT stars appear on teh WEEKLY, not on the daily. Here is the point. THese stars are correct. They describe a very distinct manipulative act on part of the CM. But since time is one of the elements the CM uses to manipuloate--we DO NOT KNOW on what time fram he is working at any given moment. Whatr shuld we do????? Amos, Why did you call star 6 a cheater? I am explaining this very point now OK buy @ support with a protective stop close to the selling climax, aka star #3 star 6 is the BEST place to buy. You avoid the accumulation process, your stop never gets caught. You are able to buy calls that may not expire.... on and on. But the problem is that many times star 6 is on a chart that DOES NOT show you star 1 . The answer , at least, here, is simple--you must look at more than one time frame. If the CM tries to cheat us with time-- we must--as a preventive measure--study TIME harder. We must be aware of the possibilities that time is being manipulated. Now, it so happens that SMI gets paid to teach you this. Everyone wants to make things look easy and palatable i n order to attract customers. You are not going to sell someone a product by sating to them: Listen , this stinks. But I am telling you , here, as stark and as ugly as it sounds-- star 6 as wishful and alluring as it is--is not that easy to attain. However, those who strive to attain it--can make money. The various apparitions of star 6 can be a very long subject of many classes and many examples. I remember, when I used to teach an advanced Wyckoff class at the CME--that was the most we spent time on. User [chris /63.15.181.136] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 21:07:37 EDT 2000 But, it is sufficient for you to understand that--it can take many shapes and forms. can you give us a list of examples? If you are prepared to its abilityy to knife--you are already a better warrior. I will give one hypothetical example, sherri. thx If the distance (in price) between star4 and 6 is large-- you are alwyas tempted to get in as soon as you recognized the selling climax--because you are afriad that the market will "fly" without you. The truth is that you never know at what level star 6 will be places by the CM. If your risk between star 4 and 6 is larger than your money management will allow--you will never be able to get in. -> If you do get in (that is enought suckers)--the CM, who monitors open interest and knows exactly how many contracts he is long and who and what is the financial power -> of the people that stand agains him--will make a decision0-whether to let you in, or get your stop. What if star 6 is a terminal shakeout? can u explain a terminal shakeout amos for class briefly that meant it can go much deeper than the selling climax for a very short while (ONe nithe, say) Then you can be very right about the general analysis--and stand there holding nothing in your hand or worse than that. It is possible that the run up and down in teh yen Friday and today was such a manufactured shake out of shorts. Pity the shorts who tried it. However, if we are lucky enough to identify a rather easy from of accumulation and star 6 did not shake us out--then stars 7 and 8 have quite typical behavior User [eric /206.98.11.157] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 21:14:07 EDT 2000 the reaction to star 8 MUST be on lighter volume. It will represent lack of supply on that last test. Now the move from start 8 to 9 is not as simple as the "small" chart describes. User [Jimbo /63.10.172.194] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 21:15:14 EDT 2000 It can have a sign of strength, that is another push to the upper boundary of the accumulation band Amos, What is the shortest time frame you have seen the 1-8 star formation develop? and another light volume test in the range and only after that a jump Jeff I cannot answer this. This behvior repeats itself on the 1 minute bar charts!! but we are talking here about the daily chart. However, Jeff's q. has merit--it is significant to understand that this principle replicates itself on all time frames. In one form or another. jeff it happens on a minute chart as well as a monthly chart' it happens constantly brb it does not occur all the time--but when you see it on the 15; 30;60 minutes--you can use the same logic. but remeber oon a 1 minute chart the reaction is small This is where the concept of "testing" comes from. so the transition from star 8 to 9 is rather simplified on thi this schematic. But it involves, mmore often than not--a sign of strength. This is vigorous upsurge of wide movement and large volume. Why do you think that is allowed? so the public will jump on board -> how are you? CM wants it recognized -> good, how bout you? advertisement yes fibo, i am looking for one more word -> good demand -> r u able to understand? cause mark up no, supercalifragialistic....docious -> oh yeah! quite easily! lol lol no. What Happens after star 6 is that the CM has accumulated his postion. Until now he had to lie to us and lure us to sell. Now that he has his postion--he welcomes the public to buy and help him with the markup. so he is manufacturing demand to aid markup The manipuoative process to sell--has ended--nnow starts the campaign for the public to buy. You may say. AMOS!!!! that is what i said yes you may say that. You may say that it is too easy, and why let the public buy so low??? This is again an allusion. Most of us bought at stars 1234 we have already been shaken out, we are disgusted, we are frustrated, we thing the market will never go up amos, didn't you say the other day there is a gret trader who waits for 8 There is a funny chart of the psychology of the average Joe (Have you noticed that no one in this class has the name of Joe???0 in James Dines book. I used it from time to time. But by the time star 9 comes00we all want to SELL not to buy. Of course, the Rothcilds and the Steinhardts of the world--bypass all this and they buy star 10. What is the biggest problem and the biggest asset of start 10, please? risk -> may not have a star 10 right, risk is rather high. But probability is high too. market apears to be going down. User [Dene /207.50.1.174] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 21:26:27 EDT 2000 you exchange high probability for higher risk. -> All of a sudden you turn from a buyer of insurance to an insurance company. It is much harder to buy at point 10. But it has a much better chance of making you money. This is why I like the thrust method. You should never buy after star 10 with the thinking you have to protect below star 6 or 3. You should look, on the daily chart, in our case for a higher high, put a stop below the last low--and go with it. Why is this good? Becuase you have already observed that the process of accumulation TOOK place. You know that behing you is a large effort by the CM and he did not wast all his time and money during stars 1-8 just to go a short distance. You also, according to WYckoff have a point and gifure chart that measrued the AMOUNT of energy (gas in your tank) the CM invested in the next move and you are jumping on a moving car. This is also agood place to buy calls. Even if they are alittle dear. this is where volatility will carry the day. The process of stars 10 to 13 is the marke up. We shall leave it for another day (or 60 minutes, or week etc.) haoook lol lol..thanks amos thanks thanks amos thank you amos thanks amos any questions? thanks good instruction thanks amos thanks thanks a lot amos -> thanx muchly thanks amos, great tutorial thank you amos ask questions, stop thanking me -> i am glad that u r learning thwn when u trade again u make money When you buy on the "upthrust", do you actually buy on the retest of the "upthrust"? don't understnad the q lmarsh -> yeah, now just need a little time to put a plan together -> take your time sorry, you've mentioned in past of buying on the upthrust. Is this in fact, or do you sometimes wait & buy the retest? what do you call upthrust? amos doesn't buy on "the upthrust" he buys "an" upthrust after accumultion. -> can you recommend a couple of markets for me to take a look at for medium(3-7 day) trading? I think what he is referring to right steve yes -> beans I am sorry, in Wyckoff terms upthrust is the opposite of spring. In what phase of the market are you talking about? where can i find smi website for chart please? say after the JOC "thrust" chris there is none to my knowledge, but you are in one Chris, I believe there is a reference to it on the posts sorry, you said chart, i read chat, sorry lol chris, on this site are wyckoff terms that amos put up that you should copy off also What (if anything) can one do to avoid a terminal shakeout when buying at star 6? What is the significant of star 2? Is it the boundary too? Amos it is on the post somewhere. there is a glossary of wyckoff terms on this site as well as a wyckoff wave the way i understand it is that he would buy a new high over 9 with stop under 10. and the chart that amos is referring to is on the smi website Jeff you do not avoid anything, you are ready for everything. star 2 is very important--it usually is the creek SMI=stock market institute www.smi.com? what is smi? Please remeber seomtimes a spring or an upthrust will stop out the very best traders Jump across the creek and upthrust are two different things. Would the recent (pass weeks/months) moves in gold be a good study of these stars? Upthrust does not happen after SOS, JOC do. it can extend past a point that you dont think it can go Chris, look on the chat room posts here at gary's site. stock market institute Chris It is alwyas a ceratain sequence of events. thank you sherri, gary,jimbo,peggy If something happened--then the Wyckoff philosophy tells you that x,y,z, are likely to happen. It is a serial order of events. they rarely change places. fritz what do you mean? you cannot have a SC before the PS you cannot have SOS before tso etc. what do you think you see in gold? glitter I have not looked That it would be easy to study the Wyckoff ideas on. there isnt alot with the gold chart that is like these starts now fritz, the weekly chart of gold would be a fantastic study of these stars Gradual decline over years/months, then a fifty dollar jump. User [sherri] left forum at Mon Apr 03 21:41:25 EDT 2000 on the daily but you need to look at the weekly for this ok this can be a sign of dtrenghth in gold this could mmean demand User [sherri /209.100.190.153] joined forum at Mon Apr 03 21:42:07 EDT 2000 mean good observation the cm are interesting in gold Here is a slight varioation Gary uses many rallies as a sign of strength It seves him well. But it is not Pure Wyckoff. Wyckoff said that SOS can happen only once and it is followed by a jump. After sos (a classical one) there should not be another retracement--because that will make it too easy for even stupid public to jump in very close to a convenient low. amos-which star on chart is SOS? But-- nothing is wrong in calling a strong rally with wide range in prices and high volume SOS I should nt use it as oftene as I do I mean it as demand if it helps you trading. but I try to relate between 8 and 9 Jimbo as it breaks resistance of trading range? can't find sos on list? You should have seen Linda Rascke calling 1 minute climaxes in the s and p. It is redioculous--but she makes mi8llions with these definitions. sign of strength k What was the s&p trading range she was working in? she is smart tho, she does not call them selling and buying climaxes--she just uses The "Large and significant' chart with the 21 stars can be found At: http://www.stockmarket.qpg.com/ the term: sell climax and buy climax. Smart lady SteveF you are larger than life :) I hope you all understand that this is ONE way to look at the market. yes It is NOT a panacea. it is not a holy grail. It is just a grail for all the beginners that have joined us tonigth I will be going over all of this in classes the BEST that I have found. -> I am glad that you have absorbed this thank you steve! it is a Bar b que grail thanks Steve amos from south israel -> so please be patient and I will help you and amos too yea, lots of grits you are welcome! -> diddnt mean that last one sorry I hope everyone was able to grasp this tonight I lived in Mempis- Iknow Griddley's yup! it is important part of market analysis people who grasp become grasphoppers thanks and goodnight :) User [Dene] left forum at Mon Apr 03 21:50:54 EDT 2000 Dene thank u how about the one just east of the peobody hotel? (rib place) tomorrow will be chart time nite, Dene Gridleys..Rondevues...and many more. r there any charts that anyone finds useful Wyckoff simple, but not easy Good night ladies and gentlemen, bedtime here, Thanks again., Memphis the OLD Cotton Exchange building, neat building. OY, fibo , such memories, next is Hillary and Ark..... nite, Fritz nite nite fritz lol@amos nite fritz User [fritz] left forum at Mon Apr 03 21:52:09 EDT 2000 ya'll have a good night and see ya tomorrow! nite Steve nite steve bye steve nite, Steve gary-I used to use cot reports a lot, now seem confusing with Wyckoff. :) thanks Steve nite everyone thanks gary and amos cot nit mrj nite mrj reports lag too much User [mrj] left forum at Mon Apr 03 21:54:18 EDT 2000 I am going back to bed too seem to contradict acc and distr patterns and it doesnt tell the whole story nite amos -> gn amos night all. Thanks again Amos and Gary. night amos thank u nit amos User [amos] left forum at Mon Apr 03 21:54:39 EDT 2000 User [SteveF] left forum at Mon Apr 03 21:54:43 EDT 2000 they do anyone see article in Futures about accuracy of COt? User [Jeff] left forum at Mon Apr 03 21:54:50 EDT 2000 good nite and thank you yes User [sherri] left forum at Mon Apr 03 21:55:02 EDT 2000 COT charts if used right can be of help which issue sal? seems to be market dependent most recent issue but they are used diffeerntly wyckoff wise had'nt read it yet sal..... The cm can be a commercial can be a large spec me either-got to renew so the report can be misleadig and confusing the yen the COT , commercials are usualll wrong,, in cattle mostly right I would use price action and volume comm & large spec diametrically opposed according to cot-charts site their premise was the commercials are really 2 parts- users, producers I wouldnt use them in conjunction with wyckoff keep wyckoff principles Pure and simple the jist of it was you have to know how the commercials work for each market though it ids hard to master it will be benefical or it does one no good I hope all of you understood the chart amos was talking about th same phases happen in distribution as well think I'll work at better identification of Wyckoff principles first. though they are reversed yep thanks gary nite fibo thank u night nite , see you guys tomorrow,.... nite, Fibo. Thank you for the email User [fibo] left forum at Mon Apr 03 21:59:03 EDT 2000 well lets call it a night now