User [gary fullett /171.210.243.157] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:00:43 EST 2000 good evening Frank User [mrj /209.16.79.146] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:01:04 EST 2000 hi Mr jay HI Gary and Frank nice move in the grains today impressive hi mr j gary yes User [sal /206.175.238.18] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:02:07 EST 2000 beans especially the meal looks good should hit reistance tomorrow hey sal sal did peggy forward the email i sent u? beans are at resistance at the 523 area marsh will be happy hi y'all good evening sal gary, quick ? before ya get goin im here how bout getting put on beans now, then buying futures on retracement he will mr j? yes I think they will retrace 10 cents User [amos /62.0.146.24] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:04:21 EST 2000 no frank sell a call 25 cents out of the money in may User [Peggy /206.173.161.26] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:04:42 EST 2000 welcome peggy hhello amos Peggy hello Star Trek is over. I am here. Good evening. User [lmarsh /12.14.197.208] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:05:30 EST 2000 hey marsh -> sal thuis is private no charts? 1 sec please hello good people! ok tuesday charts hey marsh User [sherri /209.100.190.154] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:06:24 EST 2000 hi sherri shi everyone i am back I'm flying blind this evening. I couldn't download any charts did y'all see them beans! how is everyone tonight? great, excited beans ? lmrsh -> when your indicators indicate a buy, buy when the daily low matches the indicator, gary...did you send charts? :) marsh I send charts starting on tuesday meal & beans had a good day gary oh...ok...thought I didn't get them I have been following some biotech stock charts and well since the grains had a decent day today lets begin with them I am seeing Wyckoff all over them!!! you are peggy? User [eric /208.134.223.90] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:08:09 EST 2000 is wyckoff helping you with your stocks? welcome eric hi eric -> when your indicator says sell, sell when when the daily high matches the indicator, the volume and the price action is real evident hey eric hi gary mrj and everyone and imarsh god because wyckoff only traded stocks evening eric so they should be evident with stocks first before I begin does anyone have any questions>? wyckoff related? -> follow with a 3 cent or sixty pt stop loss, and at leaste you will stop out with a profit,unless the - then I have a questions? -> market gaps why did the grains go up today ? demand demand predict drought this summer -> hope that helps also User [davep /24.147.119.114] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:11:17 EST 2000 eric actually that is the answer I wasnted to see friday hit support thnks frank "good" news RIGHT lmarsh right peggy :) okay lets look at the grain action no...bad news we farm the market held support last week understand fridays action in the beans it went to reistance at 520 then the market ppullback the rest of the day But look at the close all the grains finished the week above support as we have been talking about for the past few weeks that the grains were undergoing accumaultion right? -> hope the color question did not offend, a compliment to you, seldom is the empathy u expressed, so the CM bought on breaks ? and support held amos especuially said that 506 was support we all agreeed so the markets pullback was only to 508 on friaday ABOVE SUPPORT right? so we knew the cm was buying the breaks and that Demand was evient so todays gap wasnt a surprise all the weak shorts quickly covered on the opening and weak long got out on friaday but we "KNEW" the news -> felt out side the group, for which it is expressed. your intuition should be a real help in trading. before the 'drought" news today that is why amos and I say by watching market action price action and volume we can "see: what the CM intentions are the news always happens AFTER the CM has apostion in the market -> Thanks Frank No offense was taken the last line is something that you all must undersatnd and belive questions? Gary / Amos: did you take Fridays' range/ action as a "tell" to predict todays move? coincidence? lmarsh absolutely not. Friday looked very bad and frightening did the market hold support friday? yes gary no one Knows when the move will happen But we must be prepared for it and have a postion in it because the move can happen anytime well if held support one should have been long right? understand....yes brb User [sherri] left forum at Mon Mar 13 21:18:59 EST 2000 devil's advocate, what if cm uses drought as chance to short now good Q I will answer with a question okay then if the market goes down we could say that the devil made it do it :) :) do you think the Cms intention is accumaultion or distribution? if it is accumaltion this is just the begiining of a move if it is distribtion then we are going uch lower the market has done "alot of work" over the past few months what would make you believe that this is distribution and not accumaltion? ? just thinking if drought fears were legit wouldnt we have a lot more up movement by now lmarsh get a hold of me tomorrow okay mk dn mk up wyckoff doesnt follow news question sal what do u think of the market action? nov doesnt have much premium Nov is new crop right? r will do gary,..& thanks amos for saying it looked "not to great" friday, I thought the same, but did see support hold i love this chat lmarsh that is a case of having a postion and protecting with a stop if you believe that the market is accumauting lmarsh then you buy with a stop and let the market take you out the market didnt close well on friday but above support so the market had a chance to rally one never knows when the market will rally or break which day but one Must identify accumaultion or distribution have a postion with a stop so even though "mrket doesnt look good" User [fibo /206.104.30.207] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:25:51 EST 2000 User [fibo] left forum at Mon Mar 13 21:25:54 EST 2000 User [fibo /206.104.30.207] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:25:59 EST 2000 if you belive it is accumaultion one must be long with a stopp hi fibo the CM doesnt want company so he tries to get rid of the weak longs here hello everyone and get the shorts trapped hi fibo hi fibo hi fibo th cm intention hi fibo is to move up or move down the market with u now he waits to see how far we joe blows take it? amos would u like to speak on the bean action hi fibo yes sal protect with a top stop amos how do you read the beans? We are in a lousy trading range betweet 5004 and 5384 but it gives us I will be sending lots of grain charts tomorrow so much excitment to talk about it nite after nite. Kidding aside, it is important to understand that this prolonged trading range (a time when supply and demand are pretty much balanced) is a period of preparation. If we are right and this is accumulation then the cause that is built here--will carry prices much higher. If you want to talk Edward and Magee lilngo--we are having a big flag and the target is the same distance that the pole (the pope is coming here march 21) was and that is from 465 to 538 add it t around 510 and you get ? around 580 so your target is 580 I do not have a good P&F chart right now amos we all thought you were the pope but I bet you the 2X3 or 3X3 count reads about that target I do have a yarmulka :) ????? ?????? :-) :) can i ask a semi fundamental ? k The small white cap the Pope is wearing is called in our lingo Yarmulka does new like drought affect nearby beans thanks oh, is he converting???? the same as new crop cause it creates demand now sal what drought in March? that's what I mean Amos All talk about drought, El Nino, La nina is such crap--please spare us this kind the drought is really a scare for nov isnt it? of talk on this intelligetn post hey im not trying to be stupid ya know BTW, I want to conrat fibo and sal for nice posts!!! congratulate thanks for yours too amos I find that most posts/forums do not allow xxxx.com. My hollow is as dry this time of year as i ever remember I, on the other hand--welcom all knowledge. As long as we talk the Pope, I must tell you this joke: User [gary fullett /152.202.189.82] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:36:44 EST 2000 Two bees fly over Brooklyn. One turns to the other and says: Have you got a Yarmulka? "What do you need a Yarmulka for? "KI don't want them to take me for a W A S P i asked a question that I thought was valid, please, i dont criticize what you dont know lol@amos sal I got bumpoed off can u repeat? User [Peggy] left forum at Mon Mar 13 21:38:16 EST 2000 :) sal, I will answer all questions. I can go into a deep discussion about an old man was out on a lake in a boat drought, soil moisture, statistics. I have done that trip. sal can you repeat? gary i'll ask later not worth the agravation It is NOT the way to make money in the market (at least not from a Wyckoff point of view)--that is why I poo poophed this fundamental question. I m sorry sal I didnt see the the question as I was bumped off I believe by watchig the market action one can tell what the news will be in the future i was trying to understand why this supposed drought scare would affect nearby, a frog swam up to the boat saying kiss me i am really a beautiful princess sal you must remmeber that the funds local trader sna d everyone will buy the lead month they dont know what will happen in 5 -6 months but they get "scared" and buy the lead month or the most liquid month the funds cant trade the back months necause it is not as liquid because the old man picked up the frog put her in his pocket and rowed to shore, and started to walk to town so they buy the front month but isnt the farmer a cm of a kind ? also in may beans it is more sensative to news not really a good cm unless he is cargil sal, ask Mary if she is a CM farmer :know " their crop but sometimes they fall in love with it and they dont see the forest thru the trees The farmer is NOT a CM. they think it is worth more than it is and then when it rallies they think it is worth more they have a vested interest in higher prices Frank, your frog thread is cute, go on so the farmer isnt a cm k the frog screamed, Aren't u going to kiss me and change me to a beautiful princesis who will love u forever even though a farmer is close to his crops and has an idea of what the srop is doing or progessing the CM CAM be a farmer is they are like Cargil but most arent User [Peggy /206.173.161.153] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:44:36 EST 2000 does that help sal? wb Peggy the old man replied, no at this time in my life I prefer a talking Frog y that is why amos and i diagre a tad I try only to watch the first 2 months of volume lol@Frank he ikes to watch all volume good en so the drought news will affect the nearby initially I have posted a few posts on the grains How come there were no drought news on Friday and they were there on Monday? at the site wonderful question amos news is after the fact? that is why we dont watch news and watch market action yes l marsh since the march corn goes off tomorrow may will be lead month and is close to the weekly res. at 233 234 that was my point to ask if the cm was "creating selling opportunity" market action held support on friday thats all we know may is lead month already fibo has been for 2 weeks but May will be put on the weekly starting tomorrow. well sal I seel resisatnce sal, if support at 510 holds, you should be long. If it is broken--out! at least on my weekly's and monthlys and buy support so if it is resisatnce sell sal what happens if the news becomes more bullish tomoorw? In general, if we start talking here more in terms of support, resistance; buy and sell--we stand a better chance how does one know what the news will be? support is holding so I think one must be long to make money correct Fibo so if we are at resistance I say sell buy support fibo, that was a very good point, can you elaborate especially if the market is in an uptrend buy all supports yes it was amos where is the creek line on the weekly corn? it is at the 234.25 and 233.25 fibo can you expalin about the weekly chart I have resistance at 234 it is the trendline that I posted mar corn goes off tomorrow.. now there is approx. 8 cents difference very well said fibo we agree in the Mar and May so that puts us at the creek. that is the spread between march and may class it is interesting to always see the difference in the expiring month and the new one go on fibo, so the weekly chart becomes 232 on Wednesday and how it will look on the weekly chart User [Peggy /206.173.174.173] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 21:52:43 EST 2000 this is getting old!! and then you say we have res at 235 and the high in CK is 236 so we have a collusion of prices. so? the may contract will go on the weekly chart on Wed. yes.. it could be higher amos...:-) or lower never mind the future--go on with the analysis of what we HAVE so we have a big resistance around the 235-236 area--what should we watch for? o.k. we have resistance. a creek watch the market action and volume. it could have an upthrust. does everyone undersatnd what Fibo has said it could gap through it :-) What is we go to 238 with high volume? it is VERY important to understand yes, gary , following,.. depends on the close amos and market action it would probably be a BC could be an upthrust class if ANYONE doesnt understandI Please stop us here and ask questions fibo, where is the next monthly resistance? this is very very important concept and I dont want anyone to miss it there is also resistance at 236.25 monthly you on May corn? 257!!! yes peggy and the weekly if one is long it would be a bad idea to take profits and wait to see market action amos can u tell the class hwere 257 comes in from? there is major resistance at 236.25 on weekly & monthly (in my husbands opinion) fib target. I love that a new CM? LOL! I think I will change my name to Charles manson so I can be a CM :) lol ooo cute man tomorrow in my opnion will be a critical day short term lol I don't understand the importance of march and may contract with 8c difference, could you explain? 257 was last high, aug 10 manson is an inmate gary because if the gains today hold we can be in the beginning of the mark up phase agree if prices fail we just went to the top of the range thanks for asking eric, now they can attack you let's see great question eric :) sal :-) thats correct davep the differnce betwen the price of the may contract and the march contract is 8 censt look may corn has too break 237 before it is worth a rats butt march corn closed at 223 1/2 how much is a rats butt these days? may corn closed at 230 3/4 a tail and a half what is the margin? rat butts go for 50 cents per pound in east texas lol lol is it worth more than a Rhett's Buttler? ! lol the differnce between the 2 prices eric that is the spread May corn closed at 231.25 today on ours Gary, if you can find a good weekly chart to send to morrow--this could be a very good conversation about continuationcharts that was at 230 3 /4 settlement' I am going to try and get a great weekly tomorrow fibo I know how to get the 8c, my question is what is the relation with the weekly chart. thta is my intention to send march will roll to may eric so you take the may price for your weekly chart on wednesday yes ours was 231.25. settlement..hmmm so it gets charted weekly chart is your clock eric you must be long Fibo to give yourself an extra 1/4 cent :) go to .... mrci.com for free month nearby corn charts Please, all around, when you have a minute lol! yes gary i am talking my position:-) go to: http://tfc-charts.w2d.com/chart/CN/M that is what we did on spreads when I traded in the belly pit and look at the corn monthly and you will see how significant i have good weekly charts with the correct volume on them. me too lol :) fibo is the level of 238 that fibo alerted us to and Frank was willing to sacrifice his rats butt for! beans closed at 620 tom me today fibo lol :) :) gotit pulled up amos we will discuss the grainstomorrow weekly and monthly charts should be looked at cloesely in the grains now the site again is http://tfc-charts.w2d.com/chart/CN/M ours closed at 523 oh okay darn :) i was hoping for a buck more lol lol@gary now this must be one situation when they all line up? yes, it is in the stars lets talk about the metals here for a bit k gold held support as well on friday and moved up about 2 bucks today amos my weekly vhart on corn shows a 234 236 253 and a 283 we mentioned that this market was undergoing some acculation as well you forgot, Frank 301, 352, 390 and 450 so lets watch this chart as well cloesly amos do you have a commnet on gold here? you should be long with a stop below the last 8 days. also, watch the april crb around 214.38. I think it was the previous high. The cash already made new high amos do u find that the cash will lead the futures or the futures will lead the cash? good Q it depends on Ivan Lendel ? tennis? Ivan lendel? who's he The common wisdom says that when cash leads the futures there is urgent demand. Mostly you want to see the front months lead the back months But then you go into carrying charges and all kind of fundamental mumbo jumbo that has nothing to do with trading. I thinkg that the relationship is worth watching. If you can make money with the comparison--be my guest. It has rarely to do with WYckoff. WHen Cash won in Tennis against Ivan Lendle they said: Cash is better than CHeck :-) :) :) :/ when Billy Jean beat Bobby Riggs they found out women do it better thas true sal conservative so any questions tonight? :}) several of th topics we talked on were very important especailly the weekly charts soy bean oil followed the rest of the grains today. any think it will continue its bear journey/ weekly and monthly chatrts should be sent to all of you so we all can follow it is the wekest grain frank fibo, which service provides the weekly volume for you? as we said if one want to be long be long meal be long the strongest and short the weakest husband hand builds the charts and adds the volume for the week. and puts it on the correct week we put it on Ensign 6 our program.. do you also have P&F? it has it on it.. my gut feeling tomorrow is that grains will opn higher tomorrow and fail and go back into its range tomorrow we will have lots of charts and work to do and we will begin our week in earnest you know, Gary, what Frank thinks of gut feelings.... it is an important week I am sorry amos What? but I have relied oon gut feeling for 19 yrs and they have been good to me I think when traders get experience that's nice but I can't depend on your guts, Gary!!!! I have to develop my own Yes, Gary, but how do you transfer gut feelings to others? they can see the charts clearer User [mrj /209.16.79.146] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 22:20:58 EST 2000 but also they can feel in advance if they are wrong or right thier postions in advance you only devlop GUT feelings by experience I cant give u that All I am saying is that if we teach principles--that is fine. We cannot teach gut feelings. ditto, Amos just the facts, ma'am -> like rectums, gut feelings are often useful amos, or did your nose get in the way of your good sence? There is resistance at 528 and support at 516. These arer clear I understand what anos and peggy are saying parameters for tomorrow. -> sorry sal that is you want only pribciples they are right but markets are not theory they are live markets and many times feel is important that is my take like Kenny ridgers says you ahve to know when to hold em and know when to fold em rodgers :) HE said KNOW, not FEEL true I know u cant teach your gut feelings but I feel that is important I know you feel not everyone will agree actually when you put them together you get a knowfel, which is a pretty good food. but being a former floor trader this helped me survive so I was right regarding subjectivity last week, heh? wyckoff has some subjectivity amos and I can look at a chart if u don't feel what u are doing you are in trouble amos, same as if u don't have a rectum and have differnt time perspectives That is Wycoff, is it not. good night everyone I mean the time frames. everyone here gn mrj nite, mrj at the risk of being sacreligous , wyckoff is not G_d User [mrj] left forum at Mon Mar 13 22:27:21 EST 2000 Gary, I have nothing against your feeling nite mr J & thanks gary you were right on the 230.75 close..i was looking at tonights session has differnt risk capital to risk gnmrj I just us to have consistency here and stick to principles. nite mrj so everyones perspective tends to be differnt This is the better road to success k fico :) well if we just keep to principles we shouldnt talked roll overs gn mr j fibo sorry :-) wyckoff never talked about spreads differnces one must develop his/her own niche since we are all indivuduals we all have differnet persepctives amen and our experiences help in this we cant be ONLY pure even though e try and we learn by asking, I am pure YES I did not say pure what.... and everyone learns differntly and interpertperts differntly :) i was just seeing that the May price would be close to weekly creek.. I know principles are important but markets dont stand still prinicpals are important too there are alwyas expections to what happens i don't ever trade spreads we got lots of that in our fields amos spreads between the 2 moths I was talking about fibo the roll over on the weekly I understand I hope we have a good discussion tmw about weekly charts and rollover, and hay manure, anyone?? amos you mentioend that delievery is important but that isnt wyckoff lol@Peggy ask any woman i was thinking more of the cattle end product but it is a great observation and it is your experience experince in trading to me is a KEY because in this business if you dont have experience you have No capitial they only was u stay in this business Delivery issues in commodities is something I had to cope with and amend is if you have some degree in order to make Wyckoff work in commodities too. gary , thanks for repesting my questions tonight k sal get in contact with me tomorrow okay respecting k as soon as i cool down I know amos what u mean that is why we learn from obvservations and experience but the obvious question here is, how much $$ and how much time does it take to get GUTS!!! most people in this business never get experince do you know why>? takes time what if you have Crone disease? they won't study they go broke they probably lose their money before they get experience peggy not necesarily $$$ thats is right my student does have Crones User [sherri /209.100.189.141] joined forum at Mon Mar 13 22:36:19 EST 2000 I have clienst that have been with me from the beginiing hey sherri and they have survvied and gained knowledge hi....neighbors stopped in hi sherri gaining knowledge is mportnat in anything we do hi sherri we must bridge the gap from haveing money and no knowledge to havinf money and lots of knowledge long on arrogance and short on tolerance can cause limit downs, eh? :) so keep working hard keep the losses small and gain knowledge if you lose money gain more in knowledge get experience surive and I believe you can make money keep risks small any questions?> it really helps to study the markets too support your local Sherif if not I willleave it at this tonight and tackle markets tomorrow night nite Gary thanks again one is a student of th amrkets all the time another good chat markets thanks again, Gary my pleasure I hope it helped thanks...even if I will have to read it if amos and I agreed all the time i would nt need him here :)lol gn gary, thanks thnak u eric nite all good nite all & thanks nite all night everyone nite User [gary fullett] left forum at Mon Mar 13 22:40:41 EST 2000